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Monday,
October 22, 2008
(Cont'd from
above)...
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Jim:
But even by the very
low standards of the
street what the
analysts who covered
General Growth
Properties Inc.
(GGP)
the reality
investment trust
that is under seige
by its bond holders…
the analysts for
Lehman and now who
covers it at
Barclays… what he
did yesterday was
outrageous… I think
what he did was
simply
unconscionable… now
look, GGP is
irrelevant at this
point, I have no
opinion on the
stock… the point is
now analysts get
things wrong , they
don’t even mention
it… they do not hold
themselves
accountable at all…
this guy liked GGP
all the way down
from $32.39 when he
initiated coverage
on the stock back on
July 23rd, 2008 with
a buy… liked it all
the way to under
$1... he kept
pushing it as it
sunk lower, and
lower… but that is
par for the course
for the analysts
community.
Then yesterday, with
the stock at .65
cents and the
company in very
precarious shape…
what happened… the
analyst at Barclay’s
simply dropped
coverage… that is
it, he dropped
coverage… no
downgrade… just said
we are not going to
talk about this one
any more… well that
is just great… all I
ask is that analysts
hold themselves to
the same standard of
rigor and
accountability that
I hold myself to…
that any person with
common sense I think
would demand… they
can’t do it… reading
the notes from this
analyst at
Barclay’s, it is
like another
universe… it is a
bizzaro world that
he lives in… me like
em ugly… me put arms
on Venus Demilo… we
put head on winged
victory of Phamos
Grace.
Back when GGP was at
$32.29 in July, he
tells us that
although general
growth is more
highly levered than
its peers… 72% vs.
50% on its debt
total market
capitalization
basis, and has a
substantial amount
of near term debt
maturities, going
forward we think GGP
will be successful
in refinancing its
maturing debt… end
quote… after GGP
cratered he kept
pushing it, on
December 16th when
it was $1.61, his
argument for the
stock was that the
fall and potential
bankruptcy are
essentially off the
table for two
months… wow, smoking
endorsement.. he
kept liking it when
it reported earning
on February 24th,
but offered no
guidance and held no
conference call… in
fairness to the
analysts, the stock
was actually lower
than at .49 cents
than it is now… but
you can tell people
to buy a stock in
good conscience when
you can’t even do
the homework on it…
do Barclay’s
analyst, I have got
some advice… he
needs to spend a lot
more time with his
family… get the
drift.
And he is not alone,
the analysts who
cover
General Growth
Properties Inc.
(GGP)
for RBC and Wachovia
both upgraded to buy
on October 3rd when
it was at $9.67...
they both thought
that it was possible
to bring back its
dividend from the
dead… now it looks
like GGP will be
lucky if it manages
to resusitate
itself.
The bottom line…
The Bottom Line!:
Clearly these
analysts have taken
permanent
intellectual
vacations… now it is
time for them to
take some real
vacations… you need
their advice like
you need a hole in
the head... I
believe analysts
should be held
accountable for the
calls they make...
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[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
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