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Monday,
October 22, 2008
(Cont'd from
above)...
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Jim's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price that
day |
Full Company Name |
|
 |
SHLD |
54.69 |
|
'Mad
Mail'
Sears (SHLD)
Q:
I have
watched almost every Mad Money
episode over the last 4 years
and would like to thank you and
your staff for all that you do.
I heard your reasoning for Sears
Holdings Corp’s recent price
action on Street Signs the other
day, but can you justify its
valuation? Earnings have been
trending lower for years now,
there seems to be little
potential for growth, and they
have increasingly negative free
cash flows. I can’t get my head
around it. Am I missing
something, or are all the SHLD
longs crazy?
Asif
Jim:
There is
a tremendous short position in
it, including a lot of naked
shorting that this new SEC is
going to get rid of… second,
remember, despite all of these
revenues this is only a $6b
company… so the market cap is
very small… I still believe in
Eddie Lambert, I think that he
will pull it off… but because of
the housing crisis I chose not
to ride it down for people… but
I will say this, if you think
that housing is going to come
back and come back strong like I
do… then owning Sears stock
wouldn’t be such a bad idea… and
the balance sheet is not as bad
as you think… and their credit
line is solid.
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na |
na |
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'Mad
Mail'
General Question...
Q:
Jim,
While the market has been
impressive as of late, that
leaves a big question for those
of us who were burned in the
dramatic decline and who haven’t
participated in this most recent
rally. I know you say that we
shouldn’t chase and we should
wait for pullbacks, but at what
point do we jump in - especially
considering pullbacks are now
rarely occurring? Where do we
latecomers start?
Lee
Jim:
Traditionally in a bull market
you wait until a 3% to 5%
pullback to start… and a 5% to
8% pullback to be all in… I am
using bull market rules because
we are in a bull market.
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 |
TEX |
11.22 |
|
'Mad
Mail'
Terex Corp. (TEX)
Q:
Jim,
I feel a lot dumber after
experiencing this, so maybe you
can help me. Will Terex continue
to wallow? Or is there a chance
for some gains?
Jim:
No, I do
not like Terex, I don’t like the
balance sheet… I don’t like
Manitowoc (MTW)…
I care about balance sheets
here, which is also why I said I
don’t trust
Hartford (HIG),
I don’t trust
Lincoln National (LNC)…
when the balance sheet is in
question and we are not out of a
recession yet… these companies
can still go lower… so no thank
you Terex… it is just too dicey…
Why not own
Caterpillar (CAT)?…
If you want dice, CAT can always
cut its dividend… I would buy
more… I own it for
ActionAlertsPlus.com, my
charitable trust.
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|
|
 |
MTW |
4.08 |
|
Manitowoc Co. Inc. (MTW)
See Jim's
TEX comments
above for:
MTW
|
|
|
 |
HIG |
8.74 |
|
'Mad
Mail'
Hartford Financial
Services Group Inc. (HIG)
See Jim's
TEX comments
above for:
HIG
|
|
|
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LNC |
6.90 |
|
'Mad
Mail'
Lincoln National Corp. (LNC)
See Jim's
TEX comments
above for:
LNC
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|
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CAT |
32.15 |
|
'Mad
Mail'
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)
See Jim's
TEX comments
above for:
CAT
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[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
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