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Tuesday,
October 22, 2008
(Cont'd from
above)...
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Yesterday, we got a
call from Brian in
Colorado… he says
that I understand
your arguments for
getting rid of the
ultra short ETF’s
like the SKF, but I
love to trade them…
so I was thinking, I
know the SEC puts a
limit on the amount
of assets that a
mutual fund can buy,
this is quoting
Brian, of a specific
stock. You know what
if they did
something similar to
that with the ultra
short ETF’s, maybe
5% or 10% of their
assets at a maximum…
I think Brian is
being fooled… he is
being fooled by this
junk as a way to
hedge or even profit
from the decline of
the bank stocks… and
it has been a
horrendous decline,
there should have
been a way to profit
from it… these
didn’t work.
See the SKF is
supposed to be a way
to short the Dow
Jones US Financials
Index… with double
the fire power that
you would normally
exert… you make
twice as much money
if it goes down… the
darn thing doesn’t
work… for anything
except day trading,
over the long term
it really doesn’t
track the inverse
performance of that
index at all… see if
I thought there was
a reason for this
ETF to exist… other
than trying to
manipulate the
market down and get
around the margin
rules, which
regulates the amount
of leverage that you
can use… then I
would be less
inclined to
encourage the SEC to
do away with it now…
but the fact is that
I don’t see any
reason… the way I
see it this is just
a gigantic over
hyped, over marketed
tool that has
suckered a lot of
you to think that
you can hedge the
bank stocks that you
may own… or the
stock of a bank that
you may work… but
anyone foolish
enough to hold the
SKF for a long
period of time, even
up here where the
financials are down
big, has tended to
lose money… as the
index dramatically
underperforms what
you would expect…
because it exists to
track only daily
changes in the
stocks… it
rebalances every
day… doesn’t work
for more than one
day at a time to
hedge your exposure.
How bad is it… how
little does it
really help home
gamers… alright, get
this outrage… on
Friday they SKF put
in a new 52 week
low, in fact, this
was the lowest level
since October of
2007... the month
that the bull market
peaked… the index
that the SKF allows
you to short with
double the fire
power, that is Dow
Jones Financial
Index, is down 67%
in that period… so
therefore you would
think that the SKF
would be up 134%,
twice the decline…
should have been a
grand slam… it is
flat… darn thing
made you money…
greatest short trade
in history, betting
against the banks
ever since the no
nothing rant that I
gave you… and you
made nothing… boy
you know nothing if
you trade this… I
can’t believe it
myself… I hate the
SKF with a passion
reserved for no
other security that
trades in this
country.
This thing is just a
tool for the day
traders and the
market manipulators
who want to put
pressure on the
banks… its promoters
have confused you
about the potential
performance of this
diabolical device by
burying its flaws in
the prospectus…
which nobody reads…
how many people who
watch Mad Money
thinks that it works
to hedge over the
long term… what a
travesty… the
government won’t
protect you from it…
the brokers won’t
protect you from it…
the promoters won’t
protect you from it…
so it falls to us…
and we are happy to
warn you about this
financial cancer and
the need for it to
be taken off the
market.
Another big problem…
if you think there
are going to be
winners and losers
in a sector, and I
do… then there is
something
fundamentally wrong
with aggressively
shorting a passive
basket of stocks…
why… because
gradually the
healthy companies
increase in size as
a percentage of the
portfolio… weaker
companies have gone
down harder… they
are now a smaller
percentage… you
ultimately end up
shorting the best
with the SKF… you
are shorting JP
Morgan… and I told
you yesterday it is
one of the very best
banks out there… it
is the SKF’s biggest
holder… that is what
you are betting
against now… if you
really wanted to
short bank stocks
you would focus on
the worst ones…
short them
individually… not
buy a basket that
increasingly over
weights the better
banks.. the SKF just
ends up doing a lot
of collateral damage
to a lot of
undeserving bank
stocks… you can’t
fix it… you can’t
make it better or
right… but the SEC
can ban it… that is
the solution… that
is the only
solution…. it should
never have been
invented… it hurt
you… it hurt the
banks beyond what
they did to
themselves.
Madam Commissioner
Shapiro, the SEC
Commissioner,
re-level the playing
field… ban this
product that has
been used to
successfully destroy
the bank stocks…
while at the same
time costing the
regular guy
fortunes… because
they simply never
understood what
these instruments
do… and never will…
thanks to all the
promotions its
inventors have
spewed since this
blight entered the
market place.
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
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