|
Opening Segment #3: |
 |
'CEO
Interview'
'Sky's
The Limit?...'
Interview
with
David
Aldrich, CEO
Skyworks
Solutions |
 |
|
Thursday,
April 30, 2009 |
|
|
 |
 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jim's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price that
day |
Full Company Name |
|
 |
SWKS |
8.84 |
Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS)
|
|
|
Jim:
A few months ago, if
you had said that
tech would be one of
the three sectors
that brought this
market back to life,
one of the leaders
that led stocks much
higher… you would
have been laughed
at… ala Cramer-fave
motion picture
“Carrie”… almost no
one saw the turn in
tech coming… but now
the group is on
fire… burning as
quickly as the gym
where Carrie
incinerated everyone
alive… there are few
better examples of
this unlikely move
than
Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS)…
a chip maker that
designs and
manufacturers the
high performance
circuits and
semiconductors used
in mobile phones…
especially the smart
ones… broadband
infrastructure part
of their business
too, and smart power
meters… when I
recommended this
stock on December
12th at $4.41... it
was one of the most
beaten down tech
names that hardly
anyone believed in…
five months later…
doubled.
I can not take total
credit for catching
that move… I told
you to take profits
and play with the
houses money after a
20% gain, because I
did not want to be
greedy… I hope that
you held onto that
house profit money…
Skyworks is still a
great example of why
tech is working
though… once again,
it is an example
where I, actually a
huge tech bull… was
a little too
negative… this is a
company that makes
the guts of smart
cell phones… like
the power amplifiers
that strengthens the
signal, allows
faster downloads of
web content, data,
and video… which I
know that you love…
we are seeing
increased demand for
these products… and
not just because of
restocking either…
remember that is
when inventory goes
down you order more…
do not forget about
the $40b Chinese,
well I call it the
wireless stimulus
package… which means
more money for the
component makers
like Skyworks.
When you think about
China it has kind of
got this KFC chicken
in every pot… washer
and dryer in every
garage… cell phone
in every ear thing
going… it is
exploding sales…
that is part of the
reason why Skyworks
was able to handily
beat the streets
earnings estimates,
a .02 cents beat…
remember, a small
base… when it
reported last week
and give guidance
with strong earnings
visibility for the
June quarter…
visibility, what
does that mean, it
means that we can
see those earnings
already… the company
says that 90% of its
business will be
covered by its order
backlog.
Alright, now
whenever you catch a
double, you always
have to ask
yourself… time to
ring the register…
and for those of you
on the sidelines,
did you miss the
move… trust me, I do
not think that you
have… the best thing
about the tech rally
is that these stocks
are still loathed by
hedge funds… they
are being shorted
like crazy… but
eventually I think
that the hedge funds
will have to
capitulate… this is
one of those times
where strength
begets strength… and
money will flow into
tech stocks like
Skyworks… I mean
the Nasdaq
was up today… from
other areas because
these tech winners
have a lot of cash,
growing end markets,
real actual earnings
power, and the
blessing of the
Chinese Pala bureau.
Normally I would
hesitate to buy
Skyworks after a
double… plus I am
concerned story in
The Wall Street
Journal today, in
major shift… you
probably saw this, I
have been knocking
the Journal lately,
so why not give them
a little free press…
“In Major Shift,
Apple Builds Its Own
Team to Design
Chips”… I do not
know, the
iPhone
is a big customer
for Skyworks… I know
this tech rally took
a lot of people by
surprise, and many
of you still do not
believe… so lets
hear from someone
who is actually in
the trenches, to see
if Skyworks at $8.84
is still a buy… lets
hear from Skyworks
Solutions CEO, David
Aldrich...
|
|
See comments continued below...
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Thursday,
April 30, 2009
(Cont'd from
above)...
Jim
(cont'd):
Jim:
Mr. Aldrich welcome
back to Mad Money...
David:
Thank you, Jim,
thanks for having
me.
Jim:
Congratulations on
the great quarter.
Lets get right to
it… it is right in
my face, it is in
our viewers faces…
“In Major Shift,
Apple Builds Its Own
Team to Design
Chips”, you are a
very important
supplier to Apple…
is this the kind of
thing that will now
keep you up at
night?
David:
Well, not in
that case. Because
the fact is that the
phones, and the
smart phones and so
on, have become so
complex the analog
component that you
talk about, it has
got to operate on
the multiple
frequencies. It has
got to consume very
little power. It has
got to be able to
roam from location
to location, and
provide all of these
wonderful
multi-media
services. So at the
end of the day, our
customer set, in
general, has been
overwhelmingly
outsourcing more,
doing less of the
analog complexity
internally.
Jim:
Okay, that brings me
to a second point, a
lot of people feel
that almost all of
these part makers
are interchangeable…
and the reason that
they feel that way,
is a lot of people
feel that well I
could have a LG
phone or I could
have a Nokia phone,
a Motorola phone… it
does not matter… how
can you explain to
your viewers why
Skyworks may not be
as much of a
commodity as they
might think.
David:
Well, that is a
great question. A
question that we get
fairly frequently.
At the end of the
day what we provide
is all of the
transmit and receive
functionality to
interact and make
these phones small,
lightweight, high
speed data. And what
has happened in the
last couple of
years, that we just
love, is that these
products have become
much, much more
complex. They have
gone to high
resolution screens,
cameras, web
browsing, so on.
That means that the
analog signal has to
be very pure, and
has to not consume a
lot of power. So if
anything, the dollar
content has been
increasing because
the complexity is
higher. So what that
has translated into
in the last couple
of years is far
fewer competitors
than we had a couple
of years ago. And
higher dollar
content.
Jim:
Okay, given that the
case… there was an
analyst who, Raymond
James, who recently
downgraded the stock
saying didn’t think
that you should get
a higher price to
earnings multiple…
meaning that he did
not think, that
business as he said,
without tangible
evidence of a snap
back in demand, and
because, frankly,
you shouldn’t
necessarily for a
company that is just
getting a little bit
of a share… some
would say taking
from other
customers, zero sum…
that you should not
pay up for the
stock… is it true
that there isn’t a
tangible evidence of
snap back?
David:
Well, cell
phones… there is…
because the first
thing that needs to
happen is that you
need visibility, as
you mentioned in
your comments. And
visibility happens
because inventory,
whenever there is a
downturn and face
it, December was a
dousy. Well all of a
sudden this
inventory backs up
in the channel and
guys like us wake up
and we have no order
flow. That is pretty
unsettling. Well in
February, March time
frame that began to
turn around.
Inventory burned out
and we began to get
a more natural
situation from our
sell to our
customers and their
sellout to
consumers. It is the
first step, and we
have seen that. So
we guided up
cautiously in June,
but we are very
comfortable with it.
But back into the
year I think that
the inventory
problem is gone. So
at the end of the
day what you will
have then is what is
the natural demand,
how much seasonality
will there be, and
that is the $60,000
question. But
visibility is up.
And one thing that
we are pretty proud
of, is that in the
March quarter which
we believe is the
absolute trough, we
still delivered 40%
gross margin and ?
Jim:
See, I have been
emphasizing to
people that if you
see how well a
company can do in
the worst of
circumstances, just
think about what
could happen when
you get big order
flow. And I think
that that is the
case. Now, one of
the things that you
also did that I
think you should be
proud of is the
cash. It is just
building and
building. What are
you going to do with
it?
David:
Well, you are
right. We added
almost $150m in our
net cash position
over 4 quarters.
Because we are
making money. We are
making money and we
brought down more
than half of our
convert. So our debt
position has
dropped. We just
want to continue to
run our company, we
are going to
continue to generate
cash. We will look
at options as to
what to do with that
cash. But at the
end, if we can
support our
customers the way we
think we believe we
know how, we ought
to be able to
generate high
operating income and
be able to continue
to generate cash.
Jim:
I see a lot of new
devices, I was at
the ball game the
other night,
unfortunately it was
a Met game… and the
guy ahead of me had
a cell phone that I
swear it looked like
it was HD… are we
going to where the
cell phone screen is
going to be exactly
like my HD TV at
phone… and will that
mean more Skyworks
intellectual
property?
David:
Well, the
challenge really as
more multi media
content delivery.
People blogging on
cell phones. The
whole web
experience…
Jim:
I still carry my PC
around because I
have a wireless
card… but most cell
phones are now ahead
of PC.
David:
And I am a 50
year old guy, I
can’t read the
screen if it gets
too small and I am
looking at a power
point slide. So what
has happened, the
idea is creating
higher and higher
resolution screens.
Now that consumes a
lot of battery talk
time. So think about
this, you have got
4, 5, up to 8
frequencies so that
you can roam with a
phone from one
network to another.
You are doing high
speed camera access,
you are doing mobile
access to the web,
you have got this
wonderful screen,
that is all
consuming power. So
the analog
complexity is to
play traffic cop
with all of those
frequencies, and to
do it by allowing
that battery to stay
small. And that is
what we do well.
Jim:
Let me circle back
to one point,
because I know
people are going to
say this… why would
anyone, Apple
included, why would
anyone get rid of
Skyworks? I would
think that what you
would want to do is
get rid of the
stuff, people… no I
do not want to say
get rid of people,
you know what I
mean… get rid of the
division that
actually makes the
stuff that can’t be
made as cheap as
Skyworks makes.
David:
Well, we have
seen that, because
some of our
customers, Motorola,
Nokia and others,
they used to
design.. Circuitry
around the analog
component and the
trend has been…
well, if you have
got a phone that you
are only going to
talk on, you are
going to get a
single or dual band.
You can get pretty
good at signalizing
that and then
picking components.
This is no longer a
component business.
This is a transmit
solution analog
business. Our
customers are
pushing that out to
the supply chain.
And we love it. We
are trying to be
there to take it on.
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
Jim's
comments AFTER the
interview:
Excellent, David
Aldrich, CEO of
Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS).
Once again, guys…
understand that I
think the tech rally
has legs… this is
the kind of company,
all it has done is
double from a very
low base when people
thought we were in a
depression…. I think
there is a lot more
room to run.
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
[verbatim
recap]
[end of segment]
Read Jim's next Segment
here
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
Read Jim's next Segment
here
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
|
 |
 |
|
|
|
Search for Jim's past comments about a specific
stock. Use
ticker symbol or company name in quotes
(e.g., GOOG or "Google") |
|
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|