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Jim's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price that
day |
Full Company Name |
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FRT |
53.80 |
Federal Realty Investment
Trust (FRT)
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Jim:
Obscured by all of
the stress test
stuff, people did
not even focus on
it, it was pretty
amazing… we got some
really unbelievable
numbers out of
retail today… and
the one that you
probably heard about
the April retail
same store figure up
1.2%… tells you
something about how
things are getting
better…
Target (TGT)
was amazing…
Kohl's (KSS)
was terrific…
Aeropostale Inc. (ARO)...
really incredible
numbers… but then
there was something
that really mattered
that no one focused
on at all, and it
bugs me… it was the
terrific quarter
from
Federal Realty Investment
Trust (FRT)…
this is a huge mall
of real estate
investment trust… an
18.1 million square
feet all over the
northeast… but there
are a lot of great
places that they
have, Atlantic,
California… and they
have a 4.8% yield.
A lot of the mall
real estate
investment trusts
are doing poorly,
they can’t get
financing… I think
about that
General Growth
Properties (GGWPQ.PK)…
but FRT has been
able to borrow
money, actually
cheaply… and we
could be seeing the
emergence of
something similar to
capitalism in this
growth… where the
strong survive and
thrive by borrowing…
and the weak who
cannot get access to
credit, either get
acquired or get
liquidated… I think
that Federal Realty
Investment Trust is
perhaps the biggest
winner in the
group.. and it just
so happens that its
terrific President
and CEO Don Wood
happens to be on our
show today… he was
supposed to be here
in person but as
part of a fund
raiser, that he ran
to try to stop
Cystic Fibrosis and
cure it… and we will
have to catch up
again, because he
does so much charity
work beside the
great work that he
does for Federal
Realty… so lets talk
about retail and
real estate with Don
Wood, who I think
has a better pulse
on what the stores
are really doing
than any individual
store can do.
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See comments continued below...
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Thursday,
May 7, 2009
(Cont'd from
above)...
Jim
(cont'd):
Jim:
Don, how are
you?
Don:
Jim, good to be
here tonight. Thanks
for this
opportunity.
Jim:
Yeah, I am
sorry that we missed
each other in
person.
Don:
We will do it
again.
Jim:
Look, your
stock was down today
and there was a lot
of profit taking
that happened and I
think that that was
what it was. But I
need you to do
something to explain
to our viewers,
there were two kinds
of real estate
investment trusts.
There were the kinds
that paid cash and
the kind that paid
stock. If I want a
real estate
investment trust, do
I really want to be
paid in stock?
Don:
Well, look,
what I think that
what you are
referring to is some
relaxation of the
rules of the real
estate investment
trusts that allow
rates to pay a big
part of their
dividends in stocks
rather than in cash.
And I think that in
a number of cases, a
lot of cases, that
can make an awful
lot of sense to the
extent liquidity is
a big issue. But the
other side of that
is I think, kind of
part of the whole
re-contract with
investors, is the
notion that
dividends are paid
in cash. And it is
something that we
take real seriously
at Federal. Frankly,
we have paid a cash
dividend that has
increased every year
for the last 41
years. And I think
that if my math is
right, that takes us
back somewhere since
1967 or so. And we
certainly intend to
pay that dividend in
cash and with a
little luck continue
to increase it every
year. It is an
important part of
the re-contract with
investors.
Jim:
Since we favor
dividends on this
show, if you
reinvest that
dividend then you
just have a
fantastic return.
Which is one of the
reasons that we
advocate stocks on
this show so
aggressively. Don,
another thing that
has happened is that
we see a lot of
equity offerings by
real estate
investment trusts.
They tend to be
after the stock has
dropped
dramatically, and
they really are not
for the benefit of
the current
shareholders but to
the benefit of the
bondholders. I
looked at your
balance sheet, I
looked at how you
have been able to
repay debt, and roll
over debt. You do
not seem to need to
do one of these,
what I call vicious
secondaries, that
damage the existing
shareholders.
Don:
You know, look,
there is not
question that the
capital markets both
debt and equity are
turbulent. And they
have been turbulent
for the last 6
months and longer
certainly. And that
is not over now,
that will continue
for some period of
time. I think what
is most important,
is that you realize
in real estate
certainly we are in
a cyclic business.
And ups and downs
over a period of
time really aren’t a
surprise. Now, no
one saw it coming as
bad as it is now, I
will grant you that.
But we have issued
equity five or six
times, I think, over
the past 7 years and
so by doing that,
and continuing to do
that in small
amounts over that
period of time, we
are well positioned.
So I think that our
debt to total equity
is lower than most
of our competitors,
we are in the 40%
range. And so we
have room, we have
plenty of room. That
does not mean that
an equity offering
can’t make sense, if
it can be done
opportunistically.
But doing, the idea
with equity is to do
it when you don’t
really need it do
it.
Jim:
Right, that is
what I am saying. I
am talking about
equity offerings
under duress, not
opportunistic.
Because we like
Nordic American
Tanker, he does a
lot of opportunistic
equity offerings and
we still embrace
what they are doing.
Alright, so Wachovia
comes out today, and
you know I read
thru, and they are
recommending your
stock. But the first
thing that they say
is new leasing shows
softening markets, I
looked at your
current vacancy
rates, your leasing,
it seems pretty
tight to me. Now
give us a sense, is
retail in trouble?
Don:
Is retail in
trouble? No, retail
is not in trouble
when you say it
absolutely like
that. When you look
on a relative basis,
there is no question
that there has been
softening over the
past year and you
know the year over
year comparison will
continue to be soft
for a some period of
time a little bit.
But if you look at
the stock prices,
they are also off
significantly off of
the highs.
Jim:
Right, the
stocks acted as if
all of your anchor
tenants, you have
just a huge roll of
tenants, but I think
that the stocks act
as if many of your
tenants are about to
bankrupt. Since the
year began, how many
tenants have said to
you, I have got to
close doors?
Don:
Oh no, it is
absolutely happening
out there. It is all
about mitigating
your risk with each
tenant though.
Certainly when
Linens & Things went
bankrupt, when
Circuit City went
bankrupt, recently
with Filings
Basement when they
went bankrupt. That
certainly hurts us
and it certainly
hurts our
competitors. Our key
is that there is no
one tenant that
comprises more than
2.5% of our revenue
base. So that
diversification
along with most
importantly the
current locations
that we are at that
are certainly more
desirable, it gives
us a competitive
advantage. It is
important you know
to mitigate the
risks that are
really out there
today.
Jim:
One of the
things that we have
been saying on Mad
Money is that we
were in a depression
that started with
Lehman Brothers, we
ended the depression
in March when the
banks started
turning up. Now we
are in a recession.
Do you think that we
are seeing the best,
is there a turn?
Don:
I think that
what we are seeing
is a flattening out.
And we will bump
along this level for
a little bit. I do
not think that we
are going to see
anything dramatic in
terms of
improvements. But I
do think that in
many respects the
worst is over.
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
Jim's
comments AFTER the
interview:
Thank you Don Woods...
The worst is over,
you heard it,
President, and CEO
of Federal Realty
and also a very
charitable man. That
matters. Thank you
Don Wood.
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
[verbatim
recap]
[end of segment]
Read Jim's next Segment
here
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