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Final
Segment #1: |
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'Mining
For Profits'
CEO
Interview
with Timothy
Sullivan,
CEO
Bucyrus
International |
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Friday,
May 15, 2009 |
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Jim's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price that
day |
Full Company Name |
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BUCY |
22.76 |
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Jim:
How do you come at
the stock of a
company like
Bucyrus
(BUCY),
the mining equipment
manufacturer?...
Bucyrus is trading
at $22.76... It's up
28% since I
recommended it on
December 9th at
$17.62, and up a
whopping 84% from
where I reiterated
that call on March
4th, with the stock
at $12.33. And it's
more than doubled
off its 52-week
low...
So, is Bucyrus
done?... Or do you
take the longer
view, and look at
Bucyrus as a stock
that's down 71% from
its 52-week high at
$79.50?... Can you
believe where that
stock was?...
Or, to put it
another way, does
Bucyrus have room to
run, or is it due
for a pullback?...
If you own Bucyrus,
you've got to ask
yourself... to quote
the only band,
frankly, that
matters... that's
The Clash, for those
of you who are
demographically
challenged...
"Should I stay or
should I go now?"...
The company reported
a great quarter
about three weeks
ago... a serious
beat, with earnings
coming in at 76
cents per share,
while the Street was
only expecting 68
cents. That was just
monumental... one of
the biggest beats
that we had...
New orders were
down, but that was
expected... Bucyrus
only saw $16 million
in cancellations.
That was
unexpectedly good...
Its backlog is now
$2.34 billion which,
by the way, is much
larger than the
company's $1.7
billion market cap.
Now, any of those
close observers of
the show remember
Santa Fe Drilling
was a company that I
recommended when it
got to that kind of
ratio... so we're
listening up here...
Now it looks like
Bucyrus' end markets
may have bottomed...
It gets 65% of its
sales from selling
machinery for
mining, coal... and
coal prices have
pulled back
enormously to levels
we haven't seen
since the boom of
2007... and copper,
although it was down
this week... which
makes up 15% of its
sales... has already
bounced from its
late-2008 lows...
Plus, iron ore
exports from Brazil
were reported to be
up 50% in March...
And, even though
Bucyrus mostly makes
equipment for coal
and copper mining,
that was the first
increase in
shipments since
October of 2008...
To me, that's a sign
that the market for
metals and other
materials could be
turning...
I like Bucyrus...
although I think
that those of you
who bought it near
the bottom are being
pigs... and bulls
make money, bears
make money but hogs
get slaughtered... I
think you should
ring the register...
take a little
something off the
table... but there's
a strong case to
hold on...
We have to be sure
though... so why
don't we talk to a
guy who's really
been money for us...
Let's go to Tim
Sullivan, the CEO of
Bucyrus
(BUCY)...
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Continued below...
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Friday,
October 22, 2008
(Cont'd from
above)...
Jim (cont'd):
Beginning of
CEO Interview
with Timothy
Sullivan, CEO
Bucyrus
International...
Jim:
Mr. Sullivan,
welcome to Mad
Money...
Timothy:
Glad to be back,
Jim...
Jim:
Mr. Sullivan,
you gave a speech
recently at the
Harvard Business
School club of
Wisconsin. You said
something we've been
saying on this show.
I actually don't
like to hear it from
big American
manufacturers. I'm
always hoping that
I'm going to be
proven wrong about
this... You talked
about the idea that
the United States
could become a...
eclipsed by China as
a world power... I
want to ask you
about BUCY, but
could you just talk
about that quote for
a second? Because
it's pretty earth
shattering...
Timothy:
Well, I
think it's going to
happen. I think the
fact that their
economy is growing
at the speed it is,
and ours is in the
doldrums... I think
that it's not in the
too distant future
that that's going to
happen. You know,
the Chinese believe
it's going to happen
as soon as 10 years
out...
Jim:
Yeah, you know,
I've been
thinking... when I
was down at that
Washington
Correspondent's
Dinner last weekend,
I was talking with
people and I said,
if we don't pull
ourselves out of
this tailspin, they
could pass us within
five years...
Timothy:
Yeah.
Jim:
So you see it,
you see it, right.
They have a good
balance sheet...
they've got the
cash...
Timothy:
It does.
Jim:
Now, we were
looking, at first,
at your company as a
way to measure...
because it's
bottomed ahead of
it... commodity
prices. Are you
seeing a revival of
interest from
customers who had
stayed away because
they were afraid
that commodity
prices wouldn't
bottom?
Timothy:
Yeah, I
think there was a
good reaction by the
commodity producers
back in the fourth
quarter. They pulled
back production...
really put a floor
on commodity pricing
worldwide... and,
today... it's not
really backed off...
they are still
producing product
well above their
cash cost. So
they're in a very
good position now,
as this thing starts
to recover. We
believe it's
bottomed out. As it
starts to recover,
and move back up,
they've got that
room between their
cash cost and their
sell price. So
they're in good
shape.
Jim:
So Tim, if
that's the case,
then financing...
which I know when we
talked last, some of
your customers were
worried... because
of your unique...
and I'm going to
remind our viewers
about this...
because of your
unique way of, when
you order, you have
to put something
down... But you were
saying that this was
a concern. Financing
is easier now, isn't
it?
Timothy:
Yeah it is.
We actually... the
good news is that
we've been getting
some good support
from the U.S. Exent
(?) Bank... from
Hermies, and the
European side... and
those guarantees are
allowing commercial
banks now to lend
for our type of
equipment. So that's
kept the traction
going here when the
overall credit
markets have been in
a kind of difficult
position.
Jim:
Now talk
about... there was
one thing that
seemed worriesome to
me, but it could
just be some sort of
glitch... a delay in
a drag-line order to
India... I think
India is our second
most-important
customer of the
future after
China... Talk about
whether India is a
problem...
Timothy:
India is
not a problem as
much as it just
takes them a long
time to make
decisions. They've
got a huge
bureaucracy...
they've got to work
it through that
bureaucracy before
they make those
decisions... The
problem in India...
they've got huge
coal reserves, but
yet they're
importing, because
they can't get our
machinery working
fast enough, because
it's a long process
to buy a piece of
machinery at the
value that we
sell... so it's a
financing decision.
It's a bureaucratic
situation where
they've got to work
these things through
their process. We
basically sell to
the government, and
you know how
governments make
decisions...
Jim:
Now, I think a
lot of people were
hoping that we would
have a stimulus in
this country that
would involve
ultimately giving
orders to companies
like your company.
That's not
happening, is it?...
Timothy:
No. Not at
all.
Jim:
Ahhh... And you
also, when we talked
last, I wanted you
to go into this...
The cancellations
are minimal... Isn't
that because of the
way you do business?
Timothy:
Yeah. We've
got a very unique
situation in some
respects, because of
the large capital
intensity of one of
our machines. The
least expensive
machine that we sell
is $5 million. The
most expensive is
$180 million. We
work off of our
customers' cash
flow. Basically, we
have a down payment,
and we stay cash
neutral through the
entire manufacturing
process. With that
money in the game,
customers don't
cancel. They would
walk away from a
huge investment if
they would cancel...
Jim:
Alright, one
last question...
Every time I have
ever seen a major
company... like
yours... get to the
point where your
market
capitalization is
subtantially below
your book of
business... actually
below your orders...
it's been almost
impossible for that
company to stay
independent, because
other smart
companies see it,
and they take
advantage of it.
What are you going
to do with your cash
to try to move the
stock up or
something? Because,
if I were in your
business, I would
just go buy your
company...
Timothy:
(laughs)...
Well, we're making
investments. We've
made two
acquisitions, and a
JV (i.e., joint
venture) in the last
four months, and
we're going to
continue to do our
business. We're
going to use that
cash to grow our
business, especially
in this market. This
is the time to grow
the business.
Jim:
That's exactly
what I was hoping
you were going to
do, because this is
the time to take
advantage of the
guys who don't have
it. Tim Sullivan,
you're a good man.
Thank you for coming
on the show.
Timothy:
Thanks Jim.
▼ ▼
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Jim's
comments AFTER the
interview:
Alright... look,
we've been dead
right on this
company... We got
you about a $13-14
basis. We're up a
lot on the stock,
and you know what?
Yes... I don't want
you to be greedy...
But... This is the
machinery company,
at this price, to
own. He's a good
man.
Bucyrus
(BUCY)
is a good stock.
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
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