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Opening Segment #3: |
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'Buyers'
Market' |
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Monday,
June 8, 2009 |
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Jim's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price that
day |
Full Company Name |
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BXP |
50.43 |
Boston Properties
Inc. (BXP)
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Jim:
Would you believe me
if I told you that
the street has
practically been
giving away free
money… and almost no
one seems to notice,
or even care… that
is what is happening
with the REIT’s, the
Real Estate
Investment Trusts
which have been
doing secondary
offerings… offering
more stock to the
open market… it is
unbelievable.. no
one is paying
attention to these
deals… because most
of the companies
have been given up
for dead… as nobody
thought they could
refinance… so why
own them… but every
time they do a stock
deal it creates a
virtuous circle,
where the debt gets
refinanced, the
stock flies, and
then if they have to
they can raise even
more money… that is
why I like, and I am
recommending
tonight, which I
have never done
before…
Boston Properties
Inc. (BXP)..
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Monday,
June 8, 2009

(Cont'd from
above)...
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Jim:
Which just completed
a secondary on
Friday, on a deal
that was
oversubscribed… more
people wanted it,
that means a lot
more interest… and
it allowed them to
sell 15 million
shares, up from the
original 12.1
million, with
another 2.3 million
going to the
underwriters… the
secondary, priced
$50 a share, down
just .31 cents from
where the stock was
before it was
announced… that is
very strong… and now
it is at $50.43, up
slightly from there…
I do not think that
it will stay at $50
for long.
Why?… okay, so far
this year 20 real
estate investment
trusts with market
capitalizations of
more than $500M have
done secondary
offerings like BXP…
of those 20 real
estate investment
trusts, 10 are up
more than 10%… from
the last close from
the last close
before the secondary
was announced… only
6 are down, and down
very minimally… and
only 1 down more
than 10%, and that
is HCM, a troubled
real estate
investment trusts
who invest in senior
housing facilities,
and the companies
president just
resigned, and
investors are
worried that Obama’s
healthcare plan
could cut into
profits… so the
record so far
indicates that when
a real estate
investment trust
with good properties
does a deal, it goes
higher… with very
little downside… and
since Boston
Properties is
trading right about
where it priced its
secondary, I am
telling you that I
think that the stock
is a real steal… you
do not need to pay
up, because there is
a ton of stock offer
here… but I think
that if it follows
all of the other
trajectories… than
you are going to
make mad money… that
is right, money does
not grow on trees…
it does grow on real
estate investment
trusts that do
secondary offerings…
particularly
diversified ones
like BXP.
You may not
recognize this but
this is Mort
Zuckerman’s real
estate investment
trusts… he is one of
America’s greatest
investors, I have
known him from the
‘80’s, I have always
followed what he
does… not to mention
that he is a
frequent commentator
on CNBC and MSNBC,
who is deservedly
high profile… with
Boston Properties
you get to own real
estate right along
side one of the best
real estate owners
in America… and
right now you are
getting the benefit
of Zuckerman’s work
at less than the
people who got in,
well lets just say a
couple of weeks ago…
this is one real
estate investment
trust that I do not
think id going out
of business any time
soon… Zuckerman is a
survivor, and even a
thriver, of many a
downturn… I thought
this was a great
opportunity.
Not only is there
the potential upside
that we have seen
after so many of
these secondaries,
along with fabulous
management… but
since it is a real
estate investment
trust, which means
that it has to
distribute 90% of
its profits back to
its shareholders in
the form of a juicy
dividend, you are
going to get a lot
paying you here…
Boston Properties
has said that it is
considering cutting
its quarterly payout
from .68 cents,
where it gives you a
5.4% yield, to .50
cents, where the
yield would be just
about 4%… that is
still pretty darn
high… and given that
the company has sold
3 million more
shares than it
expected to in its
secondary, it may
even decide not to
cut the dividend at
all… even if it
does, 4% is nothing
to complain about…
especially when it
is backed up by
expected cash flow
and funds from
operations in the $4
per share range.
So what are you
buying here… what
are you buying with
Boston Properties…
what is backing that
dividend… the
company owns mostly
Class A office
properties… big
buildings in
Mid-town Manhattan,
in Boston, in
Princeton, NJ, San
Francisco,
Washington D.C….
with Mid-town
Manhattan generating
44% of the companies
net income… you are
probably familiar
with some of the
buildings if you
visited New York or
live here… Times
Square Tower, City
Group Center, 599
Lexington, 60% of
the GM building in
New York, or in
Boston, the
Prudential Center,
everyone knows that
one… the Embarka
Darrell Center in
San Francisco… their
largest tenant, the
US Government, takes
up 5% of their
rentable space… I
say nice.
▼ ▼
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The Bottom Line!:
Boston Properties
Inc. (BXP)
gives you a yield
that in the worst
case gets cut to 4%…
it is a great
operator, which is
what we would expect
from a company run
by Mort Zuckerman as
its founder and
chairman… and it
represents a
fantastic play on
any kind of turn
around in commercial
real estate… and
best of all, it is a
play on the trend of
real estate
investment
secondaries… giving
you mad money just a
few days after they
did the offering…
and in almost half
of the cases, in
very little
downside… half of
the cases you made
10% here… BXP, I
think that it is a
great buy.
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
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