|
Opening Segment #3: |
 |
|
'Technically
Inclined' |
 |
|
Friday,
June 12, 2009 |
|
|
 |
 |
|
|
|
|
 |
|
Jim's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price that
day |
Full Company Name |
|
 |
TQNT |
5.79 |
TriQuint Semiconductor, Inc.
(TQNT)
|
|
|
Jim:
As a seasoned hunter
of bull markets, I
can tell you that
not all bulls are
created equal...
some are more equal
than others...
Now, there are these
small... let's call
them, "run silent,
run deep" bull
markets... they're
growing up. They're
"baby bull"
markets... maybe
they're veal
markets... and then
there are the
ultra-rare bull
markets... that will
happily give you the
full "Pamplona"
treatment if you try
to stand in their
way...
Now, you've probably
heard me already
talk about the
mega-bull that's in
tech right now...
It's called a major
secular growth
trend... it's the
gigantic new product
cycle in technology
that's based on
mobile internet, led
by the
smartphones... You
know these stocks,
because I like
them...
Apple (AAPL),
Research
In Motion (RIMM)
and
Palm (PALM)...
all of which I think
are long-term buys.
I saw them coming in
today and was
tempted to
pull the trigger...
|
|
See comments continued below...
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jim's Charitable
Trust Alert -
Just happened:
* Just
BOUGHT new bank stock:
Bank of
America!
& just
sold
all of Nike position *
see
all
Jim's
latest
holdings here> |
|
|
|
Friday,
June 12, 2009
(Cont'd from
above)...
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
Jim:
When you find a bull
that's this big,
with a product cycle
that will last for
years, thanks to
enormous demand
thanks to the
iPhone,
as they go from a
luxury or a fashion
accessory, to
something that most
people in the
developed world
consider to be
necessities, then
stocks at just about
all of the companies
that are even
loosely connected to
the trend usually
get pulled along for
the ride...
In other words, you
don't have to be an
Apple or a RIM, or a
Palm to do really
well at this
point...
I think you could
buy some component
makers that most
people have never
heard of, and still
make out like a
bandit...
I'm talking about
names like
TriQuint Semiconductor, Inc.
(TQNT)...
Remember, it's
"Speculation
Friday"...
Never heard of
TriQuint?... This $5
and change tech
stock used to trade
around $50 bucks in
the heyday of the
tech bubble. It's
totally speculative,
but I think it's
worth owning. And,
on this one, I want
to thank my friend,
Dave Pelletier, my
colleague at
TheStreet.com
where I'm chairman,
who currently runs
the "Stocks Under
$10" newsletter and,
I've got to tell
you, he's making
such a persuasive
case for TriQuint...
well, he's convinced
me to get behind it.
You're not familiar
with TriQuint,
because it really
hasn't done much to
make itself known...
It's a semiconductor
company that makes
really quiet
components. You
never look at it.
It's not name brand.
For phones and
smartphones... it
has some exposure to
wireless networks,
the other side of
the mobile internet
play... and it's got
some military
business. I haven't
focused personally
on TriQuint since
back in the days of
my old hedge fund,
so it's thrilling to
think the stock is
having, if not
breaking, a second
wind here.
TriQuint's a special
iPhone play... It
makes three transmit
modules in every
iPhone...
That's a lot of
iPhone real estate.
That means, for
every iPhone that
Apple sells,
TriQuint generates
about $3-$4 of
revenue... and just
think about how many
more iPhones will
get sold, now that
Apple is selling the
iPhone 3G for just
$99, right...
The company's also a
play on China's $40
billion in wireless.
China is spending
$40 billion and,
when they get done,
they're going to be
buying a lot of
iPhones...
It has good
relationships with
the companies
involved in China's
3G rollout... This
is another big
driver in tech.
While the iPhone and
China exposure in
tech are great, if
you're going to buy
this stock, you need
to understand that
TriQuint isn't...
isn't... some
special
semi(conductor)
play, with lots of
proprietary
technology and reams
of patents... It's a
lower-tier player
that competes in
mostly commoditized
businesses...
meaning basically
that a transmit
module or a power
module made by
TriQuint IS
practically
interchangeable with
one made by another
semi company...
which means it does
have loads of
competition.
I'm trying to put
the fear of... You
know, I want you to
be nervous here,
because this is a
spec. When you buy
TriQuint, you're
buying, at best, a
third-tier
company... a company
that makes many
parts for
businesses... but
none of its
merchandise is
anything to get
excited about...
The stock is mainly
a play on the
overall strength of
the entire
smartphone market;
you buy it because
the market for the
end product is so
strong, that even
commodity component
makers like TriQuint
are raking in a lot
of money... simply
because the demand
works its way down
the tech food chain.
This bull is so
big... the product
cycle is so
gargantuan... that
there's demand for
everything, and I
think customers will
ultimately be
willing to pay up,
even for commodity
semis.
This company is
nothing like
QualComm Inc. (QCOM*),
which you know I
whipped into your
head and beat you,
to own... and is the
largest position for
AAP... I just
finished my roundup
(email) on it, and
QualComm is still my
favorite stock...
it's the largest
position for
my trust...
QualComm created the
technology that's
made a lot of this
mobile internet
possible. TriQuint
is not a creator.
TriQuint is a stock
though that is right
in the smartest,
best place to be...
inside
the iPhone
and other
smartphones...
... Right place,
right time. When it
reported its 1st
quarter results back
in the end of
April... an 11 cent
loss, by the way...
the Street was
expecting the
company to earn
money... 2 cents...
but it did raise its
2nd quarter
guidance... because
of increased demand
and what's known as
inventory
restocking... and
that's going to
allow, I believe,
TriQuint to grow its
revenues at an
18-26% clip
sequentially. And
since the company
has high fixed
costs, I believe
you're going to see
a real big boost in
margins. I think
this company's going
to be really
profitable.
The company's got a
pristine balance
sheet while you're
waiting...
especially for a
tech stock trading
in the single
digits. No debt, 65
cents per share in
cash... Dave
Pelltier gave me all
this data that made
me think I really
ought to push it.
I think we are
staring at the first
stellar quarter in
ages for TriQuint,
and you've got to
buy it here. It
could be the first
of many.
The bottom line...
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
The Bottom Line!:
When you get a huge
product cycle like
the mobile internet
cycle that's been
driving up the
Apple (AAPL)s
and the
Research
In Motion (RIMM)s
and the
Palm (PALM)s
today, I think it's
strong enough to
take up anything
that's even remotely
connected to the
companies, like
TriQuint Semiconductor, Inc.
(TQNT),
a solid way to
speculate on
smartphone demand
and increased iPhone
sales. Take it from
this lifelong
bowler...
smartphones have
"pin action"... So
what if Triquint is
the 7 pin, or maybe
the 8... when you
bowl a strike...
they all go wild.
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
Read Jim's next Segment
here
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
Read Jim's next Segment
here
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
|
 |
 |
|
|
|
Search for Jim's past comments about a specific
stock. Use
ticker symbol or company name in quotes
(e.g., GOOG or "Google") |
|
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|