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  Opening Segment #2:
The Price Is Right
  Thursday, June 25, 2009
 
 

Jim's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price that
day

Full Company Name

CS

na

na


 


[Beginning of Cramer's verbatim comments for this segment...]

Jim:
       
Welcome back to this disciplinary edition of Mad Money… I am not talking discipline as in crime and punishment…. or the cat-o-nine tails although you know that I like that… I mean investing disciplines… rules that can help you sidestep losses… and help you try to make money… in an incredibly befuddling, scary stock market… the next rule that I want to tell you about, one that I have developed based on 30 years of investing insights is the most important that I can ever teach you… and that is that price, the entry price that you buy a stock matters… price matters so much it means that you can buy the stocks of companies that you do not like all that much if they go low enough… and become attractive… because of price.

In fact, for the right price even inferior merchandise is worth buying… as long as it is not deteriorating… some of the best opportunities that I have ever seen have come from holding your nose and buying the stocks of companies that you never imagined wanting to own in the first place… because they have just finally become so darn cheap… now, I will never on this show endorse a stock when I think the fundamentals of the underlying company are deteriorated… and I won’t go near anything that could be headed for bankruptcy… remember, accounting irregularities equal sell.

 

But there is a whole lot of space between best of breed and one that is currently uninvestible…in normal circumstances though the stocks of the lowliest companies that still pass the smell test… sell for much more than I would ever be willing to pay for them… usually because there are too many hopeful investors speculating unwisely on a low dollar stock… and buying barely inadequate merchandise because it looks cheap… when in fact, it is just selling for the appropriate discount… it is selling where it should be… however, if the price drops far enough… then it is perfectly okay to buy a stock when you merely have a low opinion of the underlying company… that is how much price matters.

Now, I get enormous volumes of hate mail on this subject too… normally from people who are upset that I recommended selling a company… that I had previously said that I liked after a big increase in its share price… just as even best of breed companies become too expensive at nose bleed heights… there are levels where worst of breed companies are cheap enough that I need you to pull the trigger and do some buying… notice that worst of breed is different than just plain worst… a worst of breed business might not look like much compared to its best of breed competition… but at least it can get into the dog show.

How do you know when the price is right on something that you wouldn’t otherwise buy… obviously there is a sliding scale here… the better the company, the more that you should be willing to pay… if you are speculating, then it is worth looking for companies that have been left for dead… even though they still have a perfectly strong pulse on close inspection…. where avoiding these… but still looking for others that could just be a little scary but might be healthy… there is no price that you should be willing to pay for a company that might go potentially under… none… none… but if you are truly convinced that bankruptcy truly is not on the table… and the street just has it all wrong… then buying an unattractive company at an attractive price could make a whole lot of sense for you.

At the bottom of the barrel,
Bank of America (BAC*) and Sprint Nextel Corp. (S) were both knocked down prices that frankly were ludicrously cheap… if you thought the government was not going to seize the first… and the second was going to be able to pay its bills… at less than $4 in early March of 2009, even if you liked other banks a whole more as I did… a whole lot more than Bank of America… as long as you thought that it would survive and not be nationalized… then it was priced too low to ignore… and sure enough the stock more than tripled in the next 2 months… your key to buying Bank of America was of all things, a bullish interview with Fed Chief Ben Bernanke, on the television show “60 Minutes”… saying no major bank would be allowed to fail… what a great time to jump into a major bank that everyone was betting would be seized by the government before the interview took place… the next day Bank of America’s magnificent run took hold.

And as for Sprint, this one looked touch and go at the beginning of 2009... with its stock starting the year under $2... but even after it told us that it had enough cash to pay its debts… when it reported a bad but better than expected quarter on February 19th… you could still pick this stock up for $3.25... even though I thought that Sprint was by far the worst wireless carrier in the nation… even though it was hemorrhaging subscribers… it was still solvent… and looking more and more like a take over candidate every day… making the price just too good to ignore… if you were willing to hold your nose… it gave you a 69% gain in just 3 months… and Sprint actually turned out to be the best performer in the S&P 500 for the first quarter of 2009... those who thought it was too horrible missed….
*************************************
BREAKING NEWS BREAK IN
Michael Jackson Dead
*************************************
the week before… before BBT got the deal done the market was softened… so the price was able to spring back after the secondary… that plus the fact that the company was worth a heck of a lot more after it raised the money than before… because its solvency was no longer in doubt… taken off of the table… that made the secondary offering a steal… both deals made you money I do not care if you traded them or not… you made money… even if you had no prior interest in either Ford or BB&T, and thought that they were both mediocre at best, as I did… at discounts that steep, both stocks were clearly great buys.

Always keep your eye on the price because even less than stellar companies can turn out to be big winners if you get the chance to buy them low enough… do you know the ultimate example of this worst of breed buying that was so, so imprisoned… was AMD at the bottom of 2008...
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), semi conductor company, hated here in Cramerica and by me 22 years… I hated it for 22 years… but when it hit $2 after agreeing to sell its problematic foundry division… and after its graphic chip division began to take share from market leaders Intel (INTC) and NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)… the opportunity was too great… I call this one a hold your nose and buy situation… and if you listened to me, you caught a double in a matter of months.

Here's the bottom line...

▼   ▼   ▼   ▼   ▼

The Bottom Line!:     Remember, price matters… you do not always need to love the company… if the price is right… you can hold your nose and buy, buy, buy… but do not forget to sell, sell, sell when the stock moves up.

 

[verbatim recap]

[end of segment]

Read Jim's next Segment here  

Market Results today:

Dow:  + 173

Nasdaq:  + 37

S&P 500:  + 19

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