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[Beginning of
Cramer's
verbatim
comments for
this segment...]
Jim:
Alright,
I have got
heroes… I have
got companies
that I like… I
got execs that I
like… I play
favorites… it is
true… my
favorites are
people who make
us money… my
lack of
favorites are
people who lose
us money… today,
Nucor (NUE),
the largest
steel maker in
America by
production
reported a
better than
expected second
quarter… it is
looking more,
frankly, as I
dig down… like a
riddle wrapped
into a mystery
inside an
enigma… Nucor
beat on
earnings…
delivering a .43
cents loss,
while the street
was expecting a
much larger
loss… and its
revenues came in
about $130m
above what the
street was
expecting… with
total shipments
up 11%… compared
to the previous
quarter, we call
that the linked
quarter.
Now, on the one hand
Nucor said that it
expects the third
quarter to be better
than the second… so
far I am smiling…
and although the
company also
indicated that it is
still working thru
its high cost pig
iron…that is raw
cost that it has in
inventory… usually
Nucor uses much
cheaper scrap… less
expensive… with
continued
improvement in
orders it could work
thru that pig iron
more quickly… which
would mean a real
boost for earnings…
its gross margins
would go up because
its raw costs would
go down.
Utilization rates
were on the rise
over the quarter…
with the monthly
utilization rate up
from 38% in April to
54% in June… and Dan
DiMicco, the CEO,
said that July has
gotten better… yeah,
Dan DiMicco, I have
got to tell you
something… if he
tells me that we are
near the bottom in
the steel market… I
think we are there…
now he did say in
June, a late June
conference, that he
thought we were
there… now when the
best in the business
tells you that we
are nearing a bottom
or we are at a
bottom… then you
have to buy his
stock on any
decline.
But let me give you
the other side… the
company seemed very
cautious about
whether the current
uptick in steel
prices and shipments
represent real
demand… or just that
classic kind of
restocking… they run
out of steel, they
go order some steel,
and then when they
run out of that,
they keep… it never
creates good sales,
and higher prices…
he said that the
recover could take
at least three
years… so if steel
has bottomed… it
could very well stay
there for a while…
in other words,
instead of having a
U recovery… we have
just an L… the big
question for the
whole industry is
whether the new
demand will stick…
and if Nucor is
concerned that it
might not be real…
then I have to be
concerned too.
I think that Nucor
is the best American
manufacturing
company…. perhaps
save
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)…
but lately I have
taken a Katy Perry
"Hot n’ Cold" approach
to the stock… I
think that it is a
buy and a super
strong buy on a
pullback below
$40... when it drops
low enough and
becomes an
accidentally high
yielder… but now I
have got to make
sure that
Nucor (NUE)
does not have a hot
n’ cold view of
itself and the steel
industry… Nucor’s
results suggest
steel has bottomed…
with increased
demand strengthening
the industry… what I
want to know is if
that demand is real
and it will stick…
and there is no one
that can answer
these questions
better than one of
our greatest guests…
Dan DiMicco, Nucor’s
fabulous CEO, and a
good friend of the
show… Mr. DiMicco,
welcome back to Mad
Money.
Dan:
My pleasure Jim,
thanks for having
me.
Jim:
I have got to tell
you, because I am a
close reader of your
conference calls and
try to interpret
everything that you
say… I felt great,
and then I felt bad,
and then I felt
great… you have got
to tell it to us…
you know that you
did that… you knew
you said just enough
negative to make us
feel like even the
utilization rates
are going up and you
have two price
increases for
important lines…
that we should not
get excited, should
we?
Dan:
Well, Jim, the
key issue here is
the economy overall
and we have got a
long slow recovery
in front of us. And
so, we cannot ignore
that. Certainly
things have gotten
better for the steel
industry. The demand
situation is one
where in reality up
to this point, real
demand, that means
in use demand has
not improved a whole
heck of a lot since
the end of last
year. But what has
gotten better is the
customer base. Both
OEM (Original
Equipment
Manufacturers) and distribution
centers have got
inventories down to
1983 levels. And
what that means is,
what we call
apparent demand.
Which is what our
customers are
actually ordering
from us at. As
opposed to what
their customers are
ordering from them
at. That apparent
demand now has
gotten to the level
of real demand. So
they are no longer
taking out of
inventory, they are
buying all of their
needs based upon
real customer demand
from us. As opposed
to part from us and
part from inventory.
Jim:
You put thru
two price increases
because of what you
described?
Dan:
Yes.
Jim:
Even though we
are in a terrible
environment, you are
able to put thru
price increases?
Dan:
Yes, we have
and we have seen
some raw material
increases take place
recently. So we have
been able to get
price increases
through. But as we
talked about in our
call today,
utilization rates
for our mills in
June were in the mid
50’s. And we have
not seen things that
low in our entire
history.
Jim:
Well, you had a
38 in the month of
April but yes, this
quarter… now, there
is a great conundrum
for me… and it is
not just how good
you guys are… but I
am going to bring up
a chart that I know
that you sent me…
first, before I show
it is a chart about
job losses… and US
recessions… I have
to marvel, everybody
that I have seen…
every CEO that has
come on… how did
they make their
numbers?… they fired
people… tell people
what you did to beat
your numbers…. how
many people did you
fire?
Dan: We do not fire,
we do not lay people
off in the company.
We never have. And
we have not laid
anybody off, any of
our
Nucor (NUE)
employees off, in
this great recession
that we have had so
far. And we have no
plans to. What we do
is build loyalty,
trust, and ownership
in the company goals
in our teammates
over the years. Over
the long term. We
have always been a
long term focus
company. Which means
that you work
together thru good
times and in bad.
And you do not tell
people that they are
important to you
when things are
good, and then tell
them to get lost
when things are
tough. So our people
have responded
tremendously by
finding unique ways
to cut costs and cut
costs in a serious
matter. If you take
a look at our
operating costs,
they are down
dramatically for the
quarter. And that is
going to stay. That
is not going to go
away. And we will
see even more coming
up in the third and
fourth quarter. So
our employees have
rewarded us by using
their innovation,
using teamwork, to
keep us in the game.
To help our
customers get a
better quality
product. More timely
delivery. And so it
is a two way street.
Jim:
But Dan, isn’t
the American way…
let’s show the job
loss recession chart
that Dan sent us…
isn’t the American
way to fire people
and have a
government that does
not really provide
jobs to take the
slack?
Dan:
Well, I would
like to think that
that is not the
American way.
Certainly there is
rational for
companies acting the
way they do. Nucor
has never shared
that rational. We
have been long term
focused, there is
too much short
termed thinking that
goes on in this
world. But some of
that is in part due
to the management,
and some is in part
due to unions. As
you know, Nucor does
not have a union at
Nucor Corporation
proper. And so, we
have always had this
attitude that we are
in this together. We
are going to share
the pain and share
the gain. Right from
the top to the
bottom. We are all
in it. My pay gets
hit big time, when
everybody else’s is
getting hit. And I
do well when
everybody is doing
well. The job slide
that you have up
there is very
disturbing. And I
appreciate you
putting that up
there. And today the
Wall Street Journal
even had an article
showing a very
similar, if not
identical slide, and
series of slides.
And what it is
telling us is that
this is the worst
job loss recession
that we have seen in
our lifetimes,
number one. Number
two, look at the
trends. Look at the
slopes. From every
successive recession
from the 70’s to
2001, the slopes
have gotten flatter
and flatter on the
recovery. That is
what is known as an
increasing jobless
recovery. And the
last one, you go out
40 months and we
still have not got
back to that job
creation. Look at
where we are today.
Look at that lower
curve. And if we
have the same flat
job creation
response that we
have seen in each
successive
recession, this is
going to be a long
slow recovery. We
are not talking
about 7 million jobs
being lost. That is
going to happen when
the numbers come out
tomorrow. We are
talking about this
thing showing job
losses showing
cumulatively that
could be as much as
10 million jobs. And
then, that does not
take into account
all of those people
who have given up
looking for work.
Or, like our
employees are
working part time.
Jim:
You are
absolutely right… I
am amazed that you
were able to do
these numbers
without having to
lay off people… but
I know the take away
from all of the
CEO’s that I see all
day, which is they
made their numbers
by firing people…
and now they are
going to keep firing
people as things
stabilize… cause it
obviously makes the
bottom line look
better… although it
really does not help
the long term
situation of our
country… Dan, I have
got to run…
congratulation on
your great numbers…
and for bringing
public those
figures… because
that is what America
has to recognize…
that this recovery
is not going to be
an instant snap
back… not without
employment growing…
thank you Dan
DiMicco, form Nucor
Dan:
Thank you, Jim
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
Jim's
Comments After the
Interview:
Dan DiMicco
conference calls are
a joy… if you go to
listen to one… and I
know a lot of people
do not like to do
it… I urge you to go
and listen to his
calls… straight
talk, not politics…
but what would be
great for America…
and what is great
for
Nucor (NUE)’s
share holders… I
reiterate… this is
the best
manufacturing
company in America…
other than maybe
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT).
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
Read Jim's next Segment
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