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[Beginning of
Cramer's
verbatim
comments for
this segment...]
Jim:
With the
uncertainty of
earnings season
upon us...
despite that
great number
from
Alcoa, Inc. (AA)
to kick it
off... we want
to own stocks
that have
already been
vaccinated
against that
uncertainty...
stocks that have
already told you
that earnings
are better than
anticipated...
These are the
closest things
we have to
certain winners,
because no
company
pre-announces
unless it knows
it's going to do
even better in
the future...
and they
definitely don't
pre-announce to
the upside, if
you think you're
going to
disappoint later
on.
So tonight, I've
got a healthcare
stock that fits
that bill... one
that I think is
"immunized" so
to speak... not
only on the
earnings
front... but
also against the
most negative
farce in the
history of
health care,
since Hillary
Clinton!...
Obamacare...
In fact, this
company stands a
strong chance of
benefitting from it,
even as its stock
has been held back
by the possibility
of healthcare
reform...
I'm talking about
Covidien, Ltd. (COV)...
the global
healthcare company
that was spun off
from
Tyco (TYC)
back in 2007. Tyco
was, at that point,
the house of pain.
Covidien was the
house of pleasure...
Covidien is a
healthcare products
company with three
segments: medical
devices, the main
one representing 58%
of sales, where it
makes endoscopic
instruments, and
monitoring and
ventilation gear...
pharmaceuticals, 25%
of sales, makes both
generic and branded
drugs... we like the
branded... along
with contrast
material and radial
pharmaceuticals...
and medical
supplies, only 17%
of sales. I don't
want that to be any
bigger, because it's
mostly commoditized
supplies like sharps
safety and nursing
products...
When you think
health care, I want
you from now on to
think Covidien...
even if I'm pretty
sure that you've
never heard of it
until now...
When I say
Covidien's been
vaccinated against
Obamacare, it
doesn't make it risk
free. No stock is
risk free. The
company has its
hands in a lot of
healthcare pots...
medical devices,
drugs, medical
supplies... but the
worst it's facing
from the healthcare
bill, written by
Senator Max Baucus
that's currently
being debated, is a
tax on the medical
device side of its
business. Now, that
tax would obviously
be passed directly
onto consumers...
kind of like the
taxes on your phone
bill... so I don't
think it would
meaningfully impact
the company... but I
like to disclose
everything... and,
according to Goldman
Sachs, only 10% of
Covidien's earnings
are exposed to the
Baucus plan, making
this, the way I see
it, one of the
safest healthcare
plays... or at least
the safest from
Washington... that's
out there.
And the upside from
healthcare reform is
very real for this
company...
I've been looking at
this... waiting for
this debate to get
to this point... to
give you a name...
Covidien has a nice
variety of
diagnostic and
preventative
medicine products...
and my doctor... who
had the chance to
interview President
Obama about health
care in July... has
told me over and
over again that
diagnostics are
"king" in this
administration,
along with anything
that eliminates
waste in health
care... that's why
we do that
Allscripts all the
time. And everything
he has said... has
been backed up by
facts on Doc.com on
the CBS network of
news sites...
He specifically has
told me that
endoscopic devices
are what's going to
benefit, and
Covidien's got that
totally covered.
This stock's been
kept down by
Obamacare but, if
anything, it
deserves a higher
price-to-earnings
multiple, based on
its diagnostics and
efficiency-improving
products, which are
favored by the
president and by the
healthcare bill.
I just don't like
Covidien because
it's immunized from
Washington though.
It's also a
healthcare company
that's doing all the
right things, making
lots of small tuck
in acquisitions that
are additive to
earnings, and
getting rid of its
less profitable
business lines,
making it a leaner,
meaner healthcare
machine.
Covidien's latest
acquisitions are
very typical...
Aspect Medical
Systems, just
announced... $200
million in cash...
just literally less
than a month ago...
gives them a lot of
brain imaging
technology that
compliments the
company's existing
medical devices.
Aspect Medical's
main product is a
fantastic system...
I've seen it work...
that monitors brain
activity to ensure
that the patients
are at the right
level of
unconsciousness for
invasive procedures.
That means more
efficient health
care. Look, the most
crucial moment in an
operation is whether
you will come to or
not, or whether the
anesthesiologist got
it wrong. Aspect
gives the doc a few
seconds more than
they have, to make
sure the patient's
out, and to make
sure can come back.
That's the
difference between
life and death, by
the way. Trust me on
this.
Aspect is just one
of multiple
purchases Covidien
has made, along with
the way that it
makes its ultimate
life-saving
healthcare company.
All of these
acquisitions are so
smart. Yeah, this is
the smart way to
play healthcare
reform, or frankly
just to play
healthcare period...
The company's well
positioned to
benefit from long
term trends like
obesity. It's got
medical devices that
handle
single-incision
laproscopic surgery,
which allows for
improved cosmetics,
less scarring,
reduced wound
infections, reduced
pain, and faster
recovery times. It
gets people out of
the hospital
faster... again, one
of the main goals of
Obama's healthcare
reform.
This whole sector of
stocks has been
hammered down to
levels that are just
too cheap, and can't
stay that way as
soon as the
healthcare debate is
over. Again, why
time this piece for
tonight?... It's
about to end, this
debate... Oddly...
and it doesn't
really matter how
the debate turns
out... Covidien is
trading at a
discount to the
already-discounted
group... 13.1 times
2010 earnings...
that's close to an
entire multiple
point to the average
multiple for large
cap medical tech
companies... and an
even larger discount
to other hospital
suppliers.
I don't get it...
This company's the
best of breed and it
sells more cheaply
than the other
stocks? That's nuts,
considering that
this $42 stock
traded as high as
$57 in September of
last year, which was
a 29% premium to the
market. Do you
notice how, if we
gave you the same
valuation as before,
this stock would be
selling at $52
without Obamacare. I
think it can go
there, after the
smoke clears from
this whole debate...
Here's the bottom
line...
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
The
Bottom Line!:
Covidien, Ltd. (COV)
is a healthcare
company with all its
shots... It's
vaccinated against
disappointing
earnings, it's got
its healthcare
reform booster
shot... Its
diagnostic and cost
savings products
means it's got the
healthcare
technology that the
President and
Congress want.
Remember, either
way, as soon as this
healthcare debate
ends, I think these
stocks are all going
to fly, so you need
a chit in this
game... and the chit
is COV, which
deserves to trade at
a premium to other
healthcare plays,
not a discount. And
that's why I think
Covidien is - to put
it quite short and
sweet - a buy, buy,
buy!
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
Read Jim's next Segment
here
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