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[Beginning of
Cramer's
verbatim
comments for
this segment...]
Jim:
Tonight, we're
going back to
the Homeland
Security well...
as we try to
capitalize on a
big theme that's
simply not going
away... no
matter how much
we might want it
to. We know that
governments
around the
world,
especially our
government, are
lavishing money
on defense of
the homeland...
and we know that
private industry
is to, as we
heard from
ArcSight, Inc. (ARST)
CEO yesterday...
Homeland
Security isn't
just about
protecting
people and
government
resources
anymore... it's
also about
protecting our
country's
privately-owned
infrastructure,
including our
financial
system, nuclear
power plants,
defense
installations,
and all of the
threats that can
come from
those...
hacking,
sabotaging,
outright
shutdowns...
Tonight I want to
focus on data, video
and voice
analytics... and my
favorite play here
is...
NICE Systems Ltd.
(NICE)...
a not-so-nice
Israeli company...
founded in 1986 by
seven retired
members of the
Israeli Army. It's a
company that makes
the technology for
capturing, managing
and analyzing all
kinds of suspicious
communications...
phone calls, video,
radio and emails.
This may not be as
"in your face" as
boots on the ground,
but it's just as
effective....
Now, we have a long
history with NICE...
I originally
recommended this one
on March 15th of
2006... at $25.39.
It's up 20%.
Remember, the market
used to be good
then... NICE,
essentially, is the
first line of
defense, protecting
infrastructure, like
bridges, tunnels,
power plants, oil
and gas plants, and
city centers... from
physical attacks by
detecting intruders
and suspicious
activity... Before
you can catch the
bad guys, you have
to know who they are
and what they're up
to. NICE gives us
that capacity. And
that's why its
technologies are
used for part of the
security profile for
things like the
Eiffel Tower... for
something foreign
and spectacular...
and for the New
Jersey Transit...
for something
domestic and
mundane. Hey, when
Beijing built out
the subway system
for the 2008
Olympics, it had
NICE's digital video
surveillance
solutions deployed
across its subway
system. Hey, the
NYPD uses NICE's
systems to manage
emergency
communications and
conduct more
accurate incident
inquiries. And on
the enterprise
side... Grupo
Santander uses
NICE's technology to
centralize calls at
their call centers
worldwide...
There was an article
in yesterday's Wall
Street Journal about
how terrorist groups
like Al Qaeda are in
their worst
financial shape in
years, where they're
increasingly turning
to more traditional
criminal activities
to raise money...
like drug and
weapons trafficking,
money laundering,
fraud, organized
crime...
Here's another area
where NICE comes
in... The Treasury
Department says that
these activities are
accomplished by
large movements of
cash that could
easily be detected
by banks and other
financial
institutions, and
appealed to the
private sector for
helping monitoring
suspicious
activities... which
they would do with
the kind of gear, of
course, that NICE
makes. It's not all
voluntary either. At
an Interpol assembly
yesterday... some
major international
law enforcement
officials called for
stricter anti-money
laundering
legislation as a
means to curtail
crime and prevent
terrorists from
raising money...
Again, if we get
this kind of
legislation, it
would be huge
business for NICE,
which is making its
move in this space.
In 2007, the company
acquired Actimize, a
business that
develops smart
recording systems
and transactional
analytic solutions
that help detect
fraud and money
laundering threats.
Then, just last
month, NICE bought
Fortek, another
anti-money
laundering company.
I tell you, this is
where the action
is... It also gives
NICE access to
top-tier financial
clients, whereas
before the company
had mainly
specialized in
mid-tier clients...
Now the market for
this kind of
financial crime
prevention
technology should be
worth about $3.75
billion in 2012. I
mean, look at these
studies... that's
what they come up
with, okay...
It's expected to
grow at a 13%
clip... another
number they come up
with... up from $2.6
billion in 2009.
It's only 15% of
NICE's business. On
top of this, the
company has plans to
apply these
technologies to
non-financial
sectors, increasing
the size of its
addressable market,
which is what we're
looking at. When you
say, "addressable
market"... how much
business is there
altogether out
there?...
Now, what about the
nuts and bolts of
NICE?...
Well, we recommended
NICE back in 2006
on... This is the
basic security stuff
that the company
relies on for its
steady
performance... Okay,
NICE is a major play
on internet protocol
video surveillance
that combines video
recordings with
analytics to help
detect suspicious
things... This is
what you've been
looking for,
right... How about
things like
unattended bags and
intruders? It nails
them... It's a play
on voice logging...
it lets police, fire
departments and air
traffic controllers
handle and record
calls to track
activities... and
re-create the
sequence of events
to keep everybody on
the up and up...
and, of course, any
crimes and acts of
terrorism they try
to predict and get
from it.
NICE also has a
communications
interceptions
business. This is
traditional spy
stuff, like "The Man
From U.N.C.L.E."...
This is an area
where the company is
relatively new, but
it recently won a
$55 million contract
to supply an unnamed
government agency. I
might try to guess
which one on air,
but then they'd kill
me...
All of these are
businesses that I
think are growing...
that have strong
secular growth
trends... businesses
and government shell
out more and more to
protect themselves.
That's why, this
whole week, is about
these companies that
are just feeding and
feeding and
feeding... You need
to protect your
infrastructure...
That's not the only
reason I like it...
There are other
companies in this
space that do
similar things. I'm
recommending NICE
because it's the
best of breed...
In its most recent
conference call,
NICE management said
that it expects a
strong pipeline of
security deals that
should result in
better revenue and
earnings growth for
the company in the
2nd half of 2009...
Hey, they report in
three weeks, so
we'll get a chance
to see it the
company's delivering
on that promise...
A solid competitive
edge over Verint...
that's one of its
main competitors...
as Verint's been
busy integrating its
hard-to-swallow
acquisition of
Witness Systems...
while NICE has kept
its head in the
game. More... a
solid balance sheet.
$475 million in
cash... $7.70 per
share... This is a
$30 stock, trading
at 17.7 times
earnings. It's
growing at almost
17%! I don't think
that's expensive for
a high-quality
homeland security
tech name like NICE.
Although, as with
all the
counter-terrorism
stocks, I think that
they make the most
sense as a shopping
list for when they
go down... because
the theme is simply
not going away...
just like
the mobile internet tsunami,
as anyone who bought
Starent Networks, Corp. (STAR)
at our suggestion on
May 8th, and just
picked up an 80%
gain in five months,
knows all too well.
The bottom line...
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
Jim's
comments AFTER the
interview:
Data, voice and
video analytics are
the first line of
defense... both
against physical
attacks and
financial crimes
that allow terrorist
organizations to
fund themselves....
and the best way to
play the space...
NICE Systems Ltd.
(NICE).
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
Read Jim's next Segment
here
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