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[Beginning of
Cramer's
verbatim
comments for
this segment...]
Jim:
We've got a
problem... we
surfers have a
problem... We
have a problem
when it comes to
surfing the
mobile internet tsunami.
You see, we need
a new
surfboard...
On Tuesday,
Cisco
(CSCO*)...
the spinal
column of the
Mobile Internet,
as well as the
old-fashioned
internet...
announced that
it's acquiring
Starent Networks (STAR).
Hey, that's a
fabulous deal...
because it gives
us a 79% gain in
Starent, as I
first
recommended on
May 8th, not
that long ago,
and a 52% gain
since
the launch of
the Mobile
Internet Index
on August 11th...
Things are tough
here in
Cramerica. We
need a
replacement for
Starent because,
remember, we are
not
arbitragers...
we ring the
register once a
stock's been
acquired. So I
searched and
searched and
searched to find
something that
could be the
next cell phone,
smart cell
phone, mobile
internet
play!...
Replacing
Starent is
tough! I mean,
this is a stock
that originally
added to my list
of tech specs...
Why? Because so
many viewers
called in and
asked about the
company, for
heaven's sake.
The best play on
managing
wireless content
out there, with
a massive share
in CDM
technology,
turned out to be
a huge winner...
so how do we
find the next
Starent?... How
about going back
to the same well
that gave us the
first one...
with a
speculative
stock that, so
far, three
viewers have
already called
in to complain
about, in its
lack of
inclusion in the
mobile internet index...
and I listen to
our viewers. One
of them just
called me out on
it yesterday...
You know what stock
I'm talking
about?... I'm
talking about
ARM Holdings (ARMH)...
ARMH is the new
winner and
undisputed champion
of the
mobile internet index!...
Why ARM?...
Like Starent, this
company has
practically
unrivaled market
share. It has more
than 95% of market
share in all mobile
phones... Now ARM is
an intellectual
property play like
Cramer-fave tech
spec,
Tessera Technologies (TSRA)...
but it's one that's
even more
concentrated, just
in the mobile and
smartphone markets.
What's that mean
exactly?...
I'm always
emphasizing how
important it is to
know what you own,
because in the
period from 1999 to
2001, people lost so
much money with
tricky technology
names, and they can
be tricky,
especially ones
that, like ARM,
don't actually make
anything physical...
they make stuff
that's like ether,
okay...
So what's it
do?...
ARM is a leading
semiconductor
intellectual
property supplier.
It designs
technology for chips
that are the heart
of all kinds of
high-tech gadgets,
including the
processors in most
of the world's
phones. Here's how
the business
works... ARM uses
its expertise in
research and
development to
create advanced
semiconductor
technologies. Then
it licenses that
tech out to leading
semiconductor
companies who then
create innovative
chip designs with
these patents. Why
do they go to ARM?
Because it's
cheaper. The design
work that this
company does
requires enormous
amounts of R&D
investment and
expertise. Every
semiconductor
company would need
to spend between
$50-150 million a
year to simply
reproduce what ARM
does for them.
By designing once,
and then licensing
many times, ARM
spreads the R&D cost
for making better
and better chips
across the entire
industry, which is
why the callers keep
telling me to
recommend it.
This is a huge
change from back in
the 1980s, when the
semiconductor
manufacturing
process was the key
to success, and
every company
claimed to have the
superior process.
Today, semiconductor
manufacturing is
costly and not a
particularly
lucrative line of
business, and
fab-less
semiconductor
companies - those
that don't have any
"fabs"...
manufacturing
facilities and just
do design work -
they are abound now,
because chip design
has become the key
to success...
ARM makes its
money... by
doing critical
design work, then
licensing that
critical design work
out to the major
players and
collecting
royalties. ARM
totally dominates
the portable
electronics game...
I'm talking about
things like mobile
handsets, MP3
players. It has 95%
share of that.
Some companies are
practically
monopolies, simply
because no one else
can come close to
doing what they do.
ARM's one of them.
Listen, on average,
there are two ARM
processor-based
chips in every
mobile phone,
although there are
many more in
smartphones than
there are in "dumb"
phones (e.g., that
just make phone
calls)... which is
why this is why this
is an internet
tsunami play... with
some smartphones
containing up to
five chips based on
ARM's technology.
This had a right to
be in the index from
the beginning.
This is a huge
mobile internet tsunami
play, simply because
the number of
ARM-based processors
per phone is
increasing, courtesy
of the smartphone
revolution, as
smartphones
increase.
How important is
this company?...
Okay,
QualComm Inc. (QCOM*),
a stock that
my charitable trust
owns,
ActionAlertsPlus.com...
is behind the
technology that
makes the 3G and 4G
wireless networking
possible, and
QualComm's chips are
all based on ARM's
underlying
architecture. Now
ARM is also on the
verge of what could
be a major takeoff
in the PC market...
So far, all notebook
and desktop
computers have been
run on the X88
architecture...
that's the old one
designed by Intel in
the 70s... and this
is what both Intel
and AMD use as the
basis for their
processors. ARM has
finally come up with
a viable alternative
for netbooks...
remember, I was
looking for a
netbook play...
where its processor
design has nearly
caught up with Intel
on performance,
while requiring
substantially less
power.
ARM recently
announced a new
processor design
that's capable of
delivering two
gigahertz of
processing speed.
That's the same as
Intel's "Atom" line
of netbook
processors. This is
all about power.
Pretty much all
mobile devices run
on ARM architecture,
because it's more
power efficient. All
PCs, remember, were
originally
desktops... and they
were plugged in, so
energy efficiency
was never a big
deal, right... But
handsets, on the
other hand...
handsets have always
run off of
batteries... so
energy efficiency is
a big deal.
Now, as more and
more people buy
netbooks - small,
cheap ultraportable
computers, where
people need lots of
battery life -
there's a huge
potential for ARM's
technology, as it
can give you double
the battery life.
Some people are
really worried about
ARM's technology.
I'm not. And I think
Intel (INTC)'s
a buy at $20.
Plus, ARM is a major
partner with
Cramer-fave,
Google Inc. (GOOG),
on the launch of its
new Chrome operating
system which could
help the company
start taking share
in the netbook
market in the 2nd
half of 2010. So
whenever you hear
"Chrome from
Google," you should
be buying ARM.
The stock seems
expensive... up 101%
since the March
lows... trading at
25 times forward
earning. Whew... I
think that's
relatively cheap
though, given that
ARM's earnings are
projected to grow at
a 30% clip. Wow...
How many do I have
over 30%? Count them
on these fingers...
(where Jim is
holding up all ten
fingers)...
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
The Bottom Line!:
We need a
replacement for STAR
in the
mobile internet index,
and I can't think of
a better stock than
one provided by you,
our own viewers...
ARM Holdings, plc (ARMH).
This is one of the
best long-term
stories in the
semiconductor world,
with huge, huge
growth coming from
the
mobile internet tsunami
and market share
gains... Hey listen
to me... this one
should have been
an original member
of the mobile
internet index.
My bad. Thank you
Cisco
(CSCO*)
and
Starent Networks, Corp. (STAR)
for making room, and
making a cool 79%
gain for all of
Cramerica!
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
Read Jim's next Segment
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