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[Beginning of
Cramer's
verbatim
comments for
this segment...]
Jim:
The chairman
says the energy
rush is on...
After all the
oil and gas
deals we've
seen... Exxon
buying XTO...
Total buying a
quarter of
Chesapeake's
Barnett Shale
assets...
Chesapeake acted
well today...
Mitsui going in
for a stake in
Anadarko's
Marcellus Shale
acreage... How
about BP buying
Devon's best
overseas
properties for
$7 billion last
week? That
stock's getting
cheap. And
Consol Energy...
a coal company,
for heaven's
sake... buying
Dominion
Resources'
Marcellus Shale
natural gas
assets... we've
got to believe
there are more
takeovers
coming.
So tonight, as
your investing
coach, I am
going to help
you speculate
wisely... a
double-barreled
Speculation
Friday... on a
company that has
so much gas that
I am literally
coming out here
with a basket of
whoopee cushions
sent to me by my
pro-coal,
obviously
pro-flatulent
sister, to spice
up still one
more oil and gas
story (he then
sits on a
whoopee cushion
to
demonstrate)...
I know the price of
natural gas has been
getting crushed...
and some of our
favorite names, like
Apache and
Chesapeake have
gotten hit with
downgrades. But
you've got to
understand that
there are two ways
to value a
company... There's
the price you see on
the ticker, right...
the price that's
trading every day...
what the market's
willing to pay for
the shares right
now...
And then there's the
potential value
that's so much
bigger... the value
that a company may
be to another
company in a
business takeover!
Right now, natural
gas (the House of
Pain)... Natural gas
in the future...
(House of
Pleasure)... Given
all the energy deals
we've seen with so
many foreign players
seemingly desperate
to get into the U.S.
drilling boom... I
have to believe that
the big players in
the industry
understand just how
much these assets
could be worth, and
I would be downright
surprised if we
don't see even more
deals in the
not-too-distant
future... even as I
think this group
could be about to
get shelled, as
Obama's agenda is
likely to be
reignited over the
weekend with the
healthcare vote...
Again, we don't know
if it's going to
pass... but, if it
does, hey it could
be bad... and the
EPA (Environmental
Protection Agency)
is making a lot of
bad noises too about
the drilling they
do.
But is the right way
to speculate at this
point in the
space?...
I've got one. It's
called
SandRidge Energy, Inc. (SD)...
SandRidge Energy is
a gassy stock that
came to my attention
thanks to one of
your emails last
week.
Here's a company
that's focused on
drilling in West
Texas, the Permian
Basin and
Oklahoma... It's got
an amazing amount of
resources. It's got
1.3 trillion cubic
feet of reserves,
and the business is
about 48% oil...
which is good,
because oil's at
$50... and 52%
natural gas, which
is bad, because
natural gas is at
$4.
I think you can
speculate with
confidence in this
one, because it's
already come down to
less than two points
off its 52-week low.
So, if we get a big
selloff, as I expect
to happen if the
healthcare bill
passes, SandRidge is
less likely to get
pummeled. This one's
got the right
bloodlines. It's
CEO, Tom Ward,
co-founded
Chesapeake Energy. I
know this guy
personally. Let me
tell you
something... he's a
terrific oil and gas
guy...
The company has
about potential in
West Texas and the
Permian Basin, which
is the third-largest
oil-producing area
in the United
States, estimated to
contain 29% of our
country's estimated
future oil
production growth.
Then it has another
6.3 trillion cubic
feet of additional
reserve potential
coming from its
position in the West
Texas over thrust...
where its natural
gas is mixed with
carbon dioxide,
which has to be
removed before it
can be used...
something that's
been a problem for
the company.... hey,
that's bad gas...
(as he then proceeds
to blow out a
whoopee cushion on
the set)... But
SandRidge has a CO2
processing plant in
a partnership
project with
Occidental Petroleum
(OXY).
That should start
operating in July of
this year. It's
expected to add an
additional 100
million cubic feet
per day in
processing capacity,
because of the
tougher gas here...
another100 million
cubic feet coming
online in 2011.
Finally, it's got
Oklahoma assets...
1.2 trillion cubic
feet of reserve
potential. And here,
SandRidge has some
exposure to the
unconventional
assets we like so
much... including
the Woodford Shale,
as well as the
horizontal drilling
play in Northwest
Oklahoma.
I am so shocked this
stock is so low. I'm
not kidding. With
all the terrific
assets, it's only
trading at $7.44.
How can it be?...
Two reasons...
Its natural gas
production is on
hedge after 2010.
And you know how low
natural gas prices
are. And, more
importantly, here's
why it's despised...
Its weighed down by
$2.59 billion in
debt. It was about
double the leverage
of most of its
competitors, and
people are very
concerned about
that. Analysts are
worried that, if
natural gas prices
don't recover by
2011, SandRidge is
going to have
trouble paying that
debt.
I think the stock's
priced for disaster
already. And the
possibility that
things could get
better, or that an
acquirer might want
to buy some of its
assets, just isn't
at all reflected in
the share price.
Even the analysts,
who have seven buys
and nine holds on
the stock, have
average target
prices of $12.50.
I mean, that's
almost 70% higher
than where SandRidge
is right now...
If debt doesn't come
due until 2014, I
deem this stock to
speculate in.
Here's the bottom
line...
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼


Alright, I hope
these Whoopie
Cushions got your
attention, because
you are now free to
speculate on a
takeover name in the
oil and gas rush
that I think will do
just fine, even if
it's not acquired.
You know that I
never recommend a
stock only on a
takeover basis.
SandRidge Energy, Inc. (SD)... silent,
deadly, and
blessed... either
way.
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
*Note:
An asterisk next to
a stock indicates
that Jim owns it
currently for
his charitable trust.
If you are
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Jim Cramer
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