Opening Segment #3:  

'Steel Standing?'

'CEO Interview'
Dan DiMicco, CEO

 
Tuesday, October 21, 2008  

As a follow-up from Jim's recommendation in Opening Segment #3 tonight... he interviewed the CEO of Nucor, Dan DiMicco...  See comments below... 

Jim's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price that
day

Full Company Name & Jim's Comments:

NUE

36.06

Nucor Corporation (NUE)
See NUE's official investor relations' site here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for NUE here.


 Regular Dividend payout per share (constant):  $1.28
Expected Special Dividend (constant):  $0.80
Resulting dividend yield (varies) from
today's closing price:   5.7%
($2.08 divided by $36.06)
 

Jim:    I just talked about Nucor Corporation (NUE), the steel company, as the kind of high-yielding, dividend-raising company you want to own, in this terrible environment. Because, even if the stock goes nowhere... and, remember, this one's come down a lot... you should still be able to double your money in about 12 years, just by reinvesting NUE's dividends. And that does not... I repeat... that does not include the special dividends that NUE's paid out every year, since 2005.

But we don't want this just for the yield... we want to know that the stock can go higher. We want to know that NUE's fundamentals are okay. Remember, there's a worldwide slowdown. Maybe we shouldn't even be thinking about a steel company.

The company just reported its third quarter...

It had a nice beat. It beat the estimates, earning $2.31 a share, versus $2.19 the Street was expecting.

Even though the steel market's been hurting, revenues were still up on higher pricing... these are some of the metrics... remember, I say each industry has metrics... of $1,108 a ton... compared to $664 a ton last year. It's well up.

       
                                                 

Continued below...     

 

Market Results today:

Dow - 231

Nasdaq - 73

S&P 500:  - 30

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Tuesday, October 21, 2008
(Cont'd from above)...

Nucor Corporation (NUE)'s got a "fortress" balance sheet... $1.7 billion in cash. Of course, it has that juicy dividend. Based on next year's expected payout, this one could yield 5.7% at these levels. I mean, that's big. Remember, even the biggest CDs (i.e., certificates of deposit) are offered at about 4%.

But, even though NUE gave us a great quarter, there are reasons to be anxious...

Management, for a change, didn't provide any guidance for the next quarter, probably because NUE's CEO, Dan DiMicco, might have gotten too aggressive. I don't know... He got a little aggressive on Erin's (i.e., CNBC's Erin Burnett) show, Street Signs, shortly before steel prices, and NUE's stock, peaked... and he said... and we're going to ask him about this, because we're not a sandbagger, and we're going to ask him... (He said:) "We've got many, many years ahead of us of a strong cycle for commodities. Now the trend will be upwards, very strongly I would say..." This is me quoting him... "... for another 15 to 20 years, and that doesn't mean there won't be ups and downs, but the downs will be short-lived and the trend will be upwards."

Obviously, we want to find out if this "down" is going to be short-lived...

Now I think Dan DiMicco is a fabulous CEO and a great guy... But, look, the commodity collapse is more evident, so I have to be more cautious. You have to be more cautious. Anybody should be more cautious about a steel stock. I watched Bethlehem Steel go from $23 to $2 in about two years. That was not a great company though.

NUE did an equity offering back on May 22nd, at about $74 a share. That's about $38 higher than the stock is now. Great for the company but, perhaps, just awful for the people who got it... No, not "perhaps"... It was just awful for the people who got in on the deal...

After the latest quarter and, given that the stock's been more than cut in half, and now has a terrific yield, I think
Nucor Corporation (NUE) is a buy, but my credibility is shot... as I've liked it all the way down. I've liked it for years and years and years... even before... even with the previous CEO.

That's why we bring on the chairman, president and CEO of a company... Dan DiMicco, here to talk about the company...

Mr. DiMicco, welcome back to Mad Money...


Jim's comments AFTER the CEO interview:   Look, it's not the same as all the other companies!  I only pick industrials that I feel are going to be able to withstand even the situation he talked about...  about a global collapse.  That's only about a half dozen industrials.  But I'll identify them for you, and I'll tell you which ones to stick with...

Read Jim's next Segment here  
    

 

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