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Jim's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price that
day |
Full Company Name |
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ACV |
21.67 |
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Jim:
Now it's clearer
than ever you need
to play defense,
only buying stocks
with safe yields
that are too high to
ignore, and
recession-proof
names that are
poised to deliver
better-than-expected
earnings, because
commodity costs...
particularly oil...
have come down so
fast. Now you know I
have inundated you
with yield names...
the higher
yielders... and I've
got to tell you
something... even in
this miserable,
horrible, I hate
you, I hate you, I
hate you... you
stink... market...
these are working...
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners
(KMP)...
last night's name...
up a $1.40, still
yielding 7.82%. Not
bad. How about
Eaton Corp. (ETN)?
That one rallied 55
cents... around a 5%
yield... don't pay
up.
Nucor (NUE),
up $1.13... a big
steel company...
again, with special
dividends, around
5%... despite its
economic
sensitivity, it held
in and went up...
because of the
yield.
No one who has a
camera stuck in
their face is
talking about NUE or
KMP are they?...
They aren't talking
about ETN. They
should be...
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Continued below...
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Friday,
October 24, 2008
(Cont'd from
above)...
These are
rallying because
you're getting
the lowest
yields ever from
the risk-free
asset that's
known as a
Treasury
(bill)...
although we're
beginning to
question whether
they're
risk-free... and
they have no
upside to speak
of.
Not so with
these stocks,
where the yields
are better, and
there's upside
too...
So we've
accentuated
these all week,
and frankly,
we've done it
enough, and we
haven't focused
on stocks that
could do well,
regardless of
the strength or
weakness of the
economy...
So let's go back
to some
recession-proof
stocks... Now, I
did not say
"decline-proof"...
These are going
down... they're
going down...
It's just that,
if you buy them
the way I said,
on a scale, on
the way down...
detailed (in
Jim's book),
Real Money...
you're going to
win... at least
on the way down.
You're going to
win by beating
other people who
are losing more
money.
These are
recession-proof
stocks that
benefit from $63
dollar a barrel
oil, and really
are unfairly
painted by the
weakness in the
alleged
competition in
this one
particular case
of a name I'm
about to
mention...
And the name
is...
Alberto-Culver
Co. (ACV)!...
the umbrella for
all of these
brands that I
know you and I
use
extensively...
(e.g., VO5,
Nexxus,
Tresseme, St.
Ives, Noxema)...
This shampoo and
skincare
company... got
smacked down...
when
Helen of Troy
Limited (HELE),
another grooming
and skincare and
haircare
company...
disappointed the
Street with its
second quarter,
back on October
8th... In the
next two days,
HELE shares fell
by 12%, and ACV
got a 10%
haircut, right
along with it...
Well... a crummy
market, but ACV
still hasn't
recovered from
its pounding
that it got
because of our
friend, HELE,
and it's
flirting with
its 52-week
low... But
here's the
problem...
I regard this as
something I
usually like to
do when it comes
to Wall Street
gangsters...
This is a case
of guilt by
association.
And, right here,
we're going to
proclaim ACV's
innocence!...
ACV is not
HELE...
$3 in cash...
virtually no
debt... Isn't
that what we're
looking for,
come a financial
Armageddon,
which I don't
think we're
going to have,
but people like
to talk
about?...
Jim's comments
AFTER the interview:
Alberto-Culver
Co. (ACV)
is the template
for buying
stocks without
the protection
of a big yield.
They need to be
able to retain
earnings in a
recession, but
they need to
have been
knocked down
unreasonably,
and they need
something to
make next year
better than this
one, like
benefitting from
cheaper oil...
ACV has all of
these. Remember,
if it opens up
because they
report a great
number, we're
going to skip it
until the market
lets us have it
at a cheaper
price, which it
always seems to
do.
Read Jim's next Segment
here
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