Opening Segment #3:
'CEO Interview'
'Nuclear Reaction'

Jim Bernhard, CEO
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
 
 

Jim's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price that
day

Full Company Name

SGR

13.17

Shaw Group Inc. (SGR)


Jim:      Because it's green week on CNBC, all week we've been trying to figure out what's behind the tragic collapse of the green money-making thesis...

Today, I'm focusing on infrastructure, where one of my favorite plays is
Shaw Group Inc. (SGR)... because of its business building nuclear power plants.

That may not sound green to you, but nukes are a heck of a lot greener than burning coal or oil or natural gas... and they don't contribute to global warming... And also because of its environmental cleanup business. SGR's got a great one. I recommended SGR as a green stock, on April 16th of 2007, at $30.80. And, after peaking at $69.25, giving us more than a double, it's been sliced in half, and then some... down 57% since my last recommendation...

What happened here?...

 

See comments continued below...     

 

Market Results today:

Dow + 151

Nasdaq + 1

S&P 500: + 8

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Tuesday, November 18, 2008
(Cont'd from above)...

Jim:     

We know about hedge funds gone wild, selling these stocks because of redemptions. I gave you that story with
Quanta Services Inc. (PWR*). That's only part of things.

With SGR, this is also the case of our thesis just not playing out the way we wanted it to. We thought this company would make big money because of nuclear power... the renaissance in the U.S. and overseas... where, in the U.S., building its first nuclear power plant in about 30 years, India and China both building more nuclear power plants...

The nuclear renaissance hasn't happened... at least not in the U.S.... Aside from a couple of companies, like NRG, that have applied for permits, there just seems to be... we don't seem to have the political will to get it done, especially now that we know that Obama, who favors renewables over nukes, will be the next president, and not McCain with his love of nuclear power.

Now, I can tell you that he can claim that he likes nuclear power, but it wasn't his main campaign thrust. It's too clean to deny though.

SGR does still expect to see a number of nuclear projects in 2009, but they're not sure if they're going to get approval to start building. That's one thing to worry about. Also, when the company reported its fiscal fourth quarter, at the end of October, Wall Street was disappointed with the guidance for 2009. We have to find out whether it was disappointing or whether it was just Wall Street that was disappointed...

Everybody's looking for project cancellations now, and SGR said that it wasn't seeing signs of those when it reported... although we are now seeing serious cancellations when it comes to other businesses, like oil refining... something that SGR has exposure to, according to The Financial Times... Apparently, only 30 of the 160 refining projects announced since 2005, are still slated to go ahead.

So, on the one hand, we've got a lot of good reasons to fear and engineering meltdown, now that oil prices have fallen, and project cancellations are coming. But, on the other hand, SGR's only a $13 stock. Frankly, that strikes me as absurd, given the backlog, the expertise, and the long-term need to go green.

But maybe I'm the crazy one. So, I wanted to talk to the company's CEO, also founder, president and chairman, Jim Bernhard, to get a better sense of the business.

Mr. Bernhard, welcome to Mad Money...

●  ●  ●  ●  ●

Jim's comments AFTER the interview:     And that's exactly why we're recommending it. We're recommending stocks that are either recession-resistance... toothpaste, food... or are very high dividends that are sustainable... or are companies that are trading at or near cash... and that's why I was delighted to have you on, because you are at or near cash and it makes no sense to me.

[verbatim recap]

Read Jim's next Segment here  
    

 

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