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Jim's Quotes
from this
segment:
Jim: Spin
the tail on the
selloff again...
That's what we
were doing on a
day when the
averages just were
obliterated, with
the Dow sinking
137 points...
People want so
much to say this
market plummeted
because of Chinese
weakness
overnight. Oh, of
course, the
Chinese stock
market was up. Or
maybe European
worries. Or
because a couple
of banks and tech
companies reported
numbers that
looked
disappointing.
I'm
not buying that
rap... not at all.
The truth is, we
shed some points
today, because we
rallied huge the
last two days, the
biggest two-day
rally of the
year... and in a
healthy market...
one that's
reliable and
bankable, you just
don't go up in a
straight line.
Now
I know today's
action was
unsettling for
many. But I remain
committed to the
notion that, if
the global economy
were a game of
poker, simple
5-card Stud, then
right now, we've
got a pair of
Kings. And that
could win... in
the form of
Chinese Central
Bank easing that
I'm expecting
momentarily, and
much more likely
after last night's
softer-than-expected
China GDP
number... and
terrific corporate
earnings, despite
the declines in
stocks of Google,
J.P. Morgan and
Wells Fargo.
Yep,
earnings aren't
going to define
this market, which
means that next
week is about as
important as it
gets. So what's
our Game Plan?
Well, this is the
real report card,
boy; this is the
biggest set of
earnings
imaginable; it's
going to be the
toughest week of
the year for me,
because I've got
so much
homework
to do. It will be
total "fog of war"
and confusion will
reign, so as I...
four times a
year... warn you,
we're going to see
a lot of craziness
next week, as
traders take quick
action, right
after an earnings
report, without
doing a stitch of
homework.
How
dangerous is that
- how dangerous?
Well consider what
happened just last
night and this
morning. Without
listening to the
Google conference
call, morons took
the stock up 18
points from the
close. On Twitter,
people were saying
Jim, why didn't
you comment on it?
Do you mind if I
listen to the
conference call?
You know why?
Those people who
bought it 18
points up? It sold
off 45 points from
where those jokers
did their buying.
J.P. Morgan
rallied $1.50
right when the
company reported,
the number hit.
And then proceeded
to cascade $2.50
from when these
brain-dead,
quick-draw-McGraws
took action. I'm
not saying these
stocks aren't now
buys. I think they
are, down here. I
just need you to
be weary of next
week, because
there will be more
of the Google and
J.P. Morgan
nonsense on a
daily basis. So
listen to the
conference call,
do your homework,
and don't shoot
first.
MONDAY
Citigroup
Lots
of players decided
to blow out of the
banks, after J.P.
Morgan and Wells
Fargo reported.
They were terrific
earnings. Just
because the stock
was down, people
were saying they
had to be doing
bad. Don't play
that game. And
they got
obliterated
anyway. You want
to turn that whole
banking group
around? Well you
better hope that
Citigroup reports
a darn good number
on Monday. We need
to hear about
growth turning
positive overseas.
We need to hear
about a cleaner,
Fed-pleasing
balance sheet. We
need to hear about
some sort of
capital return, a
dividend, a
buyback... I'll
take anything. Or
at least a plan
that the Fed could
approve. But if we
don't get good
news, look for
more of the same
for the banking
group, after the
big C reports.
TUESDAY
Goldman Sachs
Tuesday
begins the real
parade, and it is
a little
overwhelming.
Goldman Sachs
gives you its
quarter. And
unlike pretty much
anytime I can
remember in
well... and of
course I worked
there in the
'80s... I have no
idea how well
they'll do.
Goldman has become
a total black box.
My thinking though
is that the
company has gone
so conservative
that, even if they
report a good
number, they will
be less than
enthusiastic when
they explain the
quarter on the
conference call.
It could be still
one more down day
for the baks, if
Goldman Sachs
doesn't get a
little exuberant
here.
Johnson & Johnson
Oh
man, we're also
going to hear from
J&J. And it would
shock me if they
have anything
positive to say at
all, other than a
long-awaited
goodbye to
Wall-Of-Shamer,
CEO, William
Weldon, who's done
a fantastic job at
tarnishing J&J's
once-sterling
reputation.
Lawsuits, recalls,
defective
products, fines.
That's become the
hallmark of this
once-fabulous
company. It's
almost become
their cost of
doing business,
like a regular
line item. Pretty
disgraceful, if
you ask me.
Coca-Cola
But
the good news is,
we do have a
couple of serial
outperformers
reporting on
Tuesday too.
Notably,
Coca-Cola, before
the bell, and IBM,
after the close. I
think both will
light up the sky
with good chatter.
IBM, Inc.
See Coca-Cola
comments above,
for Intel.
Intel Corp.
And
I bet we'll be
pleasantly
surprised when we
hear Intel's
report after the
bell, because
personal computer
sales seemed to
have stabilized.
Plus, Intel's got
this terrific
server business
that backs up the
web, huge server
farms filled with
Intel machines,
and an amazing new
chip that's
powering smaller,
form factor PCs.
And they're
selling much
better than anyone
would have
predicted.
WEDNESDAY
QualComm, Inc.
The
semiconductor love
is going to
continue, I think,
Wednesday. That's
QualComm day. Oh
boy, do people
love that stock.
And why not? It's
the brains behind
Apple, and almost
all the
smartphones out
there. It gives
you a delicious
opportunity to
buy. And you know
why? Because it
was off a $1.66
today. If it drops
a point or two
from here, then
you might actually
want to buy it,
maybe Tuesday
evening, right...
Tuesday, in the
last hour, ahead
of this quarter.
QualComm will not
be able to mention
Apple by name,
without fear of
losing their
business. But you
might want to pick
some of the
world's largest
company up too,
before QualComm
reports, because
Apple was pretty
horrible today.
American Express
We
also hear from
American Express
Wednesday
afternoon. And I
think AXP will
tell you that
business is coming
back strong. The
stock tends to get
hammered
instantaneous to
when it reports.
And then spends a
couple of days
wandering the
wilderness before
rocketing higher.
Since it's owned
by my charitable
trust,
where can follow
along at
ActionAlertsPlus,
I'm going to be
all over it, and I
hope give you a
really good
quarterly analysis
when we come in
the next day.
THURSDAY
Spanish Bond
Auction
Alright,
Thursday will be
the roughest day
of the week, and
not because of
earnings. We have
a gigantic Spanish
bond auction that
morning... a
10-year bond. And
I've got to tell
you, I think that
auction could go
terribly. i think
it will be awful.
And that's going
to control the
action in the a.m.
You need this, so
you don't get too
aggressive on
Wednesday, and
then find out that
Spain did you in,
if the auction
crashes. And I
actually suspect
it might.
Morgan Stanley
A
miserable Spanish
auction might give
you a chance to
buy Morgan
Stanley. That's a
constantly trashed
stock lately. It
was down huge
today. And you
might be able to
get it as low as
the $16s. That
could be an
excellent
opportunity since,
when Morgan
Stanley reports on
Thursday morning,
I think it will be
one of the
stronger earnings
calls out there.
Morgan Stanley is
a fabulous firm. I
know it doesn't
seem like that
anymore. I know
it's tarred as a
European
stepchild, but
that's pure
nonsense. It might
be the cheapest
stock of the whole
brokerage group.
Bank of America
Bank
of America reports
that morning too.
If the banks
continue to go
down into this
quarter, and
Spain's terrible,
then BAC might be
ready to rally, no
matter what. Even
if it's results
aren't that good,
particularly if
it's got what's
known as "a 7
handle," meaning
its stock is only
worth $7.
Otherwise, it's
not going to be my
favorite. I mean,
think about it,
J.P. Morgan and
Wells got
pulverized on
those excellent
quarters. It's
hard for me to get
behind this
poorly-performing
operation that is
Bank of America,
even as the
stock's done well
in 2012. But
that's because
it's so cratered
in 2011.
Microsoft Corp.
After
the bell,
Microsoft reports.
Mister Softy has a
new product cycle
going for it. And
that's always been
a good time to buy
the stock. The bad
news? Everyone
knows that. The
stock's been
red-hot. It makes
me a little weary,
going into the
quarter. And
remember,
technically we've
felt that, if the
stock broke below
$30, that's where
we'd be buyers.
FRIDAY
General Electric
Usually,
Friday's are
light, but not
during earnings
season. We've got
four incredibly
important reports
this Friday. It
starts with
General Electric,
okay.... which I
think will be
terrific. Hence,
why
my charitable trust
has been buying
it. Don't forget,
GE's got a 3.5%
yield, so it's got
yield protection,
okay. And I think
there's some nifty
dividend boosts
coming soon.
Honeywell
We're
also going to hear
from two other
companies that I
think are just
plain old buys, if
they're down ahead
of the reports...
because the rain
in Spain hits more
than the plain.
I'm talking about
Honeywell and
Under Armour.
You've heard me
talk about these
companies
endlessly.
Under Armour
See Honeywell
comments above.
Kimberly-Clark
And
then one that
should be bought
after it
disappoints, and
that's
Kimberly-Clark.
That's right,
after it
disappoints.
That's right -
after it
disappoints. A
magnificent and
growing dividend,
and it is less
than a point off
its high. People
won't like it.
They'll throw it
out, and that's
your chance.
Schumberger
Best
for last, we hear
from Schlumberger
on Friday, and the
oil service stocks
have entered bear
market levels now.
Amazing. Because
of the collapse in
natural gas
prices. Don't buy
SLB. Just listen
to the call. I bet
you they tell you
it's an oil
drilling
renaissance, even
as it's a natural
gas disaster.
The bottom line...
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼


In
sum, I think the
overall earnings
will be terrific.
You just might not
know it though
until, like in
Football, you get a
further review,
which comes not from
looking at the video
tape, but listening
to the conference
call. Not watching
the trading. Be
smart. Listen and
learn. And only
then, pull the
trigger!
Read Jim's next Segment
here
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Note: Pertaining to these stock recommendations & any other, Jim Cramer recommends that we do
our homework
before investing.
We've provided a free workbook at this StockHomework101 site for this,
here >> |
[end of segment]
*Note:
An asterisk next to
a stock indicates
that Jim owns it
currently for
his charitable trust.
If you are
interested in a
particular stock,
Jim Cramer
recommends that you
always do
the homework
on each stock, and
that you wait at
least one trading
week after his show
recommendation to
evaluate whether it
is a good stock
trade or investment
for you.
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