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Final
Segment #1: |
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'Mad Mail' |
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Monday,
December 15, 2008 |
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Jim takes viewer
email questions and
answers them with
his opinions on
stocks, or alternate
stock picks...
below...
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Continued below...
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Monday,
October 22, 2008
(Cont'd from
above)...
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Jim's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price that
day |
Full Company Name |
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TOL |
20.34 |
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Email question about:
Toll Brothers (TOL)
Q:
I'm interested in TOL as
both an investor and a
homebuyer. TOL's
unwillingness to lower
home prices flies in the
face of local market
conditions and has been
very frustrating for me
in what is supposed to
be a buyer's market. I
can see they're looking
long-term but, at some
point, they've got to
sell houses. How should
I view TOL's position as
an investor?
Jim:
I've looked month after
month, and year after
year, and TOL's homes
have come down a great
deal... Maybe they
haven't come down enough
to intrigue you, but
there has actually been
a decline, and that's in
the conference call.
TOL, at $20, does not
intrigue me. TOL, at
$18, is good. I'm price
sensitive on these. Why?
Because they tend to
trade in kind of jerky
moments, and when
there's a real just kind
of seller pounding them,
that's when you buy...
not just when it's
hanging around $20.
Price target to buy TOL:
$18.00
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CGMFX |
26.16 |
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Email question about:
CGM Focus
(CGMFX)
Q:
In
Stay Mad For Life, you recommend
CGMFX. After this
season's turmoil, do you
still back Ken Heebner
as one of the best fund
managers around?
Jim:
The formula that used in
Stay Mad For Life was to look at
multiple years, and it
does include
periodically guys having
a bad year, as we
like... I am not
changing my view on
Heebner one bit.
Remember, I'm not
friends with any of
these money managers. I
just like the way he has
done over the long
term... and I don't get
any money from them to
steer... I don't get
anything... I'm just
recommending people
because I think they're
good.
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NAT |
32.77 |
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Email question about:
Nordic American Tanker
(NAT)
Q:
You recently recommended
NAT with its high yield
and low P/E. Over the
past year, it has earned
$3.12 per share, while
paying out $4.89 per
share in dividends. A
similar situation exists
in
Diana Shipping (DSX),
which has earned $2.74
per share and paid out
$3.31 per share in the
past year. How can these
companies stay in
business while paying
out more than they earn
each year?
Jim:
Okay, remember, when you
have these situations,
you have to look at cash
flow, not what they
earn... and NAT has
never borrowed... does
not have an ounce of
debt. The reason that I
didn't like DSX, and I
like NAT, is that they
are not borrowing to pay
that dividend, which is
the difference why I
think NAT should be
bought and bought
aggressively right here.
I want to reiterate that
NAT is one of my
absolute favorite names
for 2009.
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